Skip to main content
V-Lab
V-Lab

Han Kook Capital Co Ltd GAS-GARCH Student T Volatility Analysis

Volatility prediction for Wednesday, October 7th, 2026

1 Day

20.58%

decreased by 1.95%

1 Week

21.58%

decreased by 0.95%

1 Month

25.15%

increased by 2.62%

Analysis last updated: Wednesday, October 7, 2026 at 07:59 PM UTC

Press Delete or Backspace to remove this series.
Date Range:

from

10/06/2024

to

10/06/2026

6M ·

1Y ·

2Y ·

5Y ·

10Y ·

All

graph of Han Kook Capital Co Ltd GAS-GARCH-T

News Impact Curve

How returns affect tomorrow's volatility

Volatility Forecast

How volatility evolves over time

Parameter Estimates

Jan 26, 2001 to Oct 2, 2026

Model Insight

With persistence 0.999, volatility shocks have a half-life of 693 trading days (~2.7 years), close to a unit root, so long-run forecasts are highly sensitive to this estimate. Returns follow a Student-t distribution with v = 2.56 degrees of freedom, capturing fatter tails than a normal distribution.

𝑓

GAS-GARCH-T Model

Tap to view equation

High persistence: persistence 0.999, shock half-life ~693 daysv = 2.56 · fat tails
ParamValuet-stat
ωconst85.1186
1.83*
αARCH0.1103
32.87***
βGARCH0.9990
1,870.79***
νDF2.5577
93.86***

0.999

Persistence

693d

Half-life
𝑓

GAS-GARCH-T Model

Tap to view equation

ParameterValuet-statistic
ω

const

Unconditional variance weight

85.1186
1.83*
α

ARCH

Response to squared shocks

0.1103
32.87***
β

GARCH

Volatility persistence

0.9990
1,870.79***
ν

DF

Student-t tail thickness

2.5577
93.86***

Persistence:

0.999

Half-life:

693 days