V-Lab
SK Hynix Inc GAS-GARCH Student T Volatility Analysis
Volatility prediction for Tuesday, August 25th, 2026
1 Day
124.85%
decreased by 2.82%
1 Week
124.68%
decreased by 2.99%
1 Month
124.01%
decreased by 3.66%
Analysis last updated: Tuesday, August 25, 2026 at 07:44 PM UTC
News Impact Curve
How returns affect tomorrow's volatilityVolatility Forecast
How volatility evolves over timeParameter Estimates
Dec 26, 1996 to Aug 21, 2026Model Insight
With persistence 0.998, volatility shocks have a half-life of 360 trading days (~1.4 years), close to a unit root, so long-run forecasts are highly sensitive to this estimate. Returns follow a Student-t distribution with v = 7.51 degrees of freedom, capturing fatter tails than a normal distribution.
𝑓
GAS-GARCH-T Model
Tap to view equation
| Parameter | Value | t-statistic |
|---|---|---|
ω const Unconditional variance weight | 18.4724 | 8.58*** |
α ARCH Response to squared shocks | 0.0419 | 49.63*** |
β GARCH Volatility persistence | 0.9981 | 4,730.21*** |
ν DF Student-t tail thickness | 7.5146 | 9.06*** |
Persistence:
0.998
Half-life:
360 days
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