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V-Lab

SK Hynix Inc APARCH Volatility Analysis

Volatility prediction for Friday, September 11th, 2026

1 Day

98.55%

decreased by 2.23%

1 Week

98.39%

decreased by 2.39%

1 Month

97.76%

decreased by 3.02%

Analysis last updated: Friday, September 11, 2026 at 08:34 PM UTC

Date Range:

from

to

6M ·

1Y ·

2Y ·

5Y ·

10Y ·

All

graph of SK Hynix Inc APARCH

News Impact Curve

How returns affect tomorrow's volatility

Volatility Forecast

How volatility evolves over time

Parameter Estimates

Dec 26, 1996 to Sep 4, 2026

Model Insight

With persistence 0.997, volatility shocks have a half-life of 248 trading days (~1.0 years), close to a unit root, so long-run forecasts are highly sensitive to this estimate.

Leverage: Negative returns increase volatility 80% more than positive returns

σ

APARCH Model

Tap to view equation

High persistence: persistence 0.997, shock half-life ~248 daysLeverage: Negative returns increase volatility 80% more than positive returns
ParamValuet-stat
ωconst0.0483
2.57**
αARCH0.0416
6.76***
βGARCH0.9538
197.68***
γleverage0.1411
2.87***
δpower2.0604
7.76***

0.997

Persistence

248d

Half-life
σ

APARCH Model

Tap to view equation

ParameterValuet-statistic
ω

const

Unconditional variance weight

0.0483
2.57**
α

ARCH

Response to squared shocks

0.0416
6.76***
β

GARCH

Volatility persistence

0.9538
197.68***
γ

leverage

Additional response to negative shocks

0.1411
2.87***
δ

power

Transformation power

2.0604
7.76***

Persistence:

0.997

Half-life:

248 days