V-Lab
SK Hynix Inc APARCH Volatility Analysis
Volatility prediction for Friday, September 11th, 2026
1 Day
98.55%
decreased by 2.23%
1 Week
98.39%
decreased by 2.39%
1 Month
97.76%
decreased by 3.02%
Analysis last updated: Friday, September 11, 2026 at 08:34 PM UTC
News Impact Curve
How returns affect tomorrow's volatilityVolatility Forecast
How volatility evolves over timeParameter Estimates
Dec 26, 1996 to Sep 4, 2026Model Insight
With persistence 0.997, volatility shocks have a half-life of 248 trading days (~1.0 years), close to a unit root, so long-run forecasts are highly sensitive to this estimate.
Leverage: Negative returns increase volatility 80% more than positive returns
σ
APARCH Model
Tap to view equation
High persistence: persistence 0.997, shock half-life ~248 daysLeverage: Negative returns increase volatility 80% more than positive returns
| Param | Value | t-stat |
|---|---|---|
| ωconst | 0.0483 | 2.57** |
| αARCH | 0.0416 | 6.76*** |
| βGARCH | 0.9538 | 197.68*** |
| γleverage | 0.1411 | 2.87*** |
| δpower | 2.0604 | 7.76*** |
0.997
Persistence248d
Half-lifeσ
APARCH Model
Tap to view equation
| Parameter | Value | t-statistic |
|---|---|---|
ω const Unconditional variance weight | 0.0483 | 2.57** |
α ARCH Response to squared shocks | 0.0416 | 6.76*** |
β GARCH Volatility persistence | 0.9538 | 197.68*** |
γ leverage Additional response to negative shocks | 0.1411 | 2.87*** |
δ power Transformation power | 2.0604 | 7.76*** |
Persistence:
0.997
Half-life:
248 days
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