V-Lab
SK Hynix Inc AGARCH Volatility Analysis
Volatility prediction for Tuesday, August 18th, 2026
1 Day
124.36%
decreased by 5.54%
1 Week
123.50%
decreased by 6.40%
1 Month
120.18%
decreased by 9.72%
Analysis last updated: Saturday, August 15, 2026 at 11:34 PM UTC
News Impact Curve
How returns affect tomorrow's volatilityVolatility Forecast
How volatility evolves over timeParameter Estimates
Dec 26, 1996 to Aug 14, 2026Model Insight
With persistence 0.991, volatility shocks have a half-life of 76 trading days (~0.3 years), close to a unit root, so long-run forecasts are highly sensitive to this estimate.
Asymmetry: negative returns raise volatility more
σ
AGARCH Model
Tap to view equation
| Parameter | Value | t-statistic |
|---|---|---|
ω const Unconditional variance weight | 0.1010 | 16.48*** |
α ARCH Response to squared shocks | 0.0759 | 71.28*** |
β GARCH Volatility persistence | 0.9150 | 949.12*** |
γ leverage Additional response to negative shocks | 0.6252 | 12.15*** |
Persistence:
0.991
Half-life:
76 days
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