SK Hynix Inc MF2-GARCH Volatility Analysis
Volatility prediction for Tuesday, July 14th, 2026
1 Day
133.37%
increased by 28.45%
1 Week
128.05%
increased by 23.13%
1 Month
117.68%
increased by 12.76%
Analysis last updated: Tuesday, July 14, 2026 at 07:41 PM UTC
News Impact Curve
How returns affect tomorrow's volatilityVolatility Forecast
How volatility evolves over timeParameter Estimates
Dec 26, 1996 to Jul 10, 2026Model Insight
This asset exhibits a strong leverage effect: negative returns increase next-day volatility 348% more than equivalent positive returns.
σ
MF2-GARCH Model
Tap to view equation
| Parameter | Value | t-statistic |
|---|---|---|
m window Rolling window length | 21 | |
α ARCH Response to squared shocks | 0.0236 | 9.67*** |
β GARCH Volatility persistence | 0.8016 | 55.62*** |
γ leverage Additional response to negative shocks | 0.0819 | 18.34*** |
λ₁ tau intercept Baseline long-term coefficient | 0.0236 | 1.53 |
λ₂ forecast adj. Forecast performance sensitivity | 0.0339 | 3.26*** |
λ₃ tau persistence Long-term factor persistence | 0.9644 | 87.74*** |
Persistence:
0.866
Half-life:
5 days
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