V-Lab
SK Hynix Inc GJR-GARCH Volatility Analysis
Volatility prediction for Tuesday, September 8th, 2026
1 Day
104.76%
unchanged at 0.00%
1 Week
104.59%
decreased by 0.17%
1 Month
103.91%
decreased by 0.85%
Analysis last updated: Tuesday, September 8, 2026 at 09:14 PM UTC
News Impact Curve
How returns affect tomorrow's volatilityVolatility Forecast
How volatility evolves over timeParameter Estimates
Dec 26, 1996 to Sep 4, 2026Model Insight
With persistence 0.997, volatility shocks have a half-life of 259 trading days (~1.0 years), close to a unit root, so long-run forecasts are highly sensitive to this estimate.
σ
GJR-GARCH Model
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High persistence: persistence 0.997, shock half-life ~259 days
| Param | Value | t-stat |
|---|---|---|
| ωconst | 0.0450 | 3.13*** |
| αARCH | 0.0311 | 4.80*** |
| βGARCH | 0.9541 | 200.07*** |
| γleverage | 0.0243 | 1.87* |
0.997
Persistence259d
Half-lifeσ
GJR-GARCH Model
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| Parameter | Value | t-statistic |
|---|---|---|
ω const Unconditional variance weight | 0.0450 | 3.13*** |
α ARCH Response to squared shocks | 0.0311 | 4.80*** |
β GARCH Volatility persistence | 0.9541 | 200.07*** |
γ leverage Additional response to negative shocks | 0.0243 | 1.87* |
Persistence:
0.997
Half-life:
259 days
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