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V-Lab

Empa Elektronik Sanayi VE Ticaret AS GJR-GARCH Volatility Analysis

Volatility prediction for Wednesday, August 26th, 2026

1 Day

75.28%

decreased by 6.02%

1 Week

78.34%

decreased by 2.96%

1 Month

85.45%

increased by 4.15%

Analysis last updated: Wednesday, August 26, 2026 at 09:54 PM UTC

Date Range:

from

to

6M ·

All

graph of Empa Elektronik Sanayi VE Ticaret AS GJR-GARCH

News Impact Curve

How returns affect tomorrow's volatility

Volatility Forecast

How volatility evolves over time

Parameter Estimates

Feb 26, 2026 to Aug 21, 2026

Model Insight

This asset shows a rare inverse leverage effect: positive returns raise next-day volatility 125% more than negative returns. Volatility rises more after gains than after losses, the reverse of the usual leverage effect and uncommon among risky assets.

σ

GJR-GARCH Model

Tap to view equation

ParameterValuet-statistic
ω

const

Unconditional variance weight

2.7509
3.79***
α

ARCH

Response to squared shocks

0.2426
4.70***
β

GARCH

Volatility persistence

0.7473
29.18***
γ

leverage

Additional response to negative shocks

-0.1348
-1.97**

Persistence:

0.922

Half-life:

9 days