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V-Lab

Empa Elektronik Sanayi VE Ticaret AS GJR-GARCH Volatility Analysis

Volatility prediction for Wednesday, August 5th, 2026

1 Day

128.83%

increased by 12.28%

1 Week

125.25%

increased by 8.70%

1 Month

115.34%

decreased by 1.21%

Analysis last updated: Wednesday, August 5, 2026 at 08:28 PM UTC

Date Range:

from

to

6M ·

All

graph of Empa Elektronik Sanayi VE Ticaret AS GJR-GARCH

News Impact Curve

How returns affect tomorrow's volatility

Volatility Forecast

How volatility evolves over time

Parameter Estimates

Feb 26, 2026 to Jul 31, 2026

Model Insight

This asset shows a rare inverse leverage effect: positive returns raise next-day volatility 177% more than negative returns. Volatility rises more after gains than after losses, the reverse of the usual leverage effect and uncommon among risky assets.

σ

GJR-GARCH Model

Tap to view equation

ParameterValuet-statistic
ω

const

Unconditional variance weight

2.5466
3.35***
α

ARCH

Response to squared shocks

0.2444
4.28***
β

GARCH

Volatility persistence

0.7656
28.17***
γ

leverage

Additional response to negative shocks

-0.1561
-2.20**

Persistence:

0.932

Half-life:

10 days