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Empa Elektronik Sanayi VE Ticaret AS Zero Slope Spline-GARCH Volatility Analysis

Volatility prediction for Friday, October 30th, 2026

1 Day

101.67%

decreased by 15.49%

1 Week

101.48%

decreased by 15.68%

1 Month

101.01%

decreased by 16.15%

Analysis last updated: Friday, October 30, 2026 at 12:28 AM UTC

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Date Range:

from

10/28/2024

to

10/28/2026

6M ·

All

graph of Empa Elektronik Sanayi VE Ticaret AS S0GARCH

News Impact Curve

How returns affect tomorrow's volatility

Volatility Forecast

How volatility evolves over time

Parameter Estimates

Feb 26, 2026 to Oct 28, 2026

Model Insight

This model fits a time-varying baseline (a spline), so volatility mean-reverts toward a slowly-shifting long-run level rather than a constant. Short-run deviations decay with a half-life of 9 trading days.

τ

Zero Slope Spline-GARCH Model

Tap to view equation

Time-varying baseline: volatility reverts to a slowly-shifting spline trend
ParamValuet-stat
ωconst1.0086
5.04***
αARCH0.2356
2.93***
βGARCH0.6902
5.82***
∑γi Spline Coefficients
K=1
γ10.0842
0.07

0.926

Persistence

9d

Half-life
τ

Zero Slope Spline-GARCH Model

Tap to view equation

ParameterValuet-statistic
ω

const

Unconditional variance weight

1.0086
5.04***
α

ARCH

Response to squared shocks

0.2356
2.93***
β

GARCH

Volatility persistence

0.6902
5.82***
∑γi Spline Coefficients
K=1
γ10.0842
0.07

Persistence:

0.926

Half-life:

9 days