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Empa Elektronik Sanayi VE Ticaret AS GAS-GARCH Student T Volatility Analysis

Volatility prediction for Wednesday, August 26th, 2026

1 Day

79.14%

decreased by 7.73%

1 Week

83.41%

decreased by 3.46%

1 Month

95.42%

increased by 8.55%

Analysis last updated: Wednesday, August 26, 2026 at 09:54 PM UTC

Date Range:

from

to

6M ·

All

graph of Empa Elektronik Sanayi VE Ticaret AS GAS-GARCH-T

News Impact Curve

How returns affect tomorrow's volatility

Volatility Forecast

How volatility evolves over time

Parameter Estimates

Feb 26, 2026 to Aug 21, 2026

Model Insight

Volatility shocks decay with a half-life of 17 trading days, meaning a shock loses half its impact after approximately 17 days. Returns follow a Student-t distribution with v = 200.00 degrees of freedom, capturing fatter tails than a normal distribution.

𝑓

GAS-GARCH-T Model

Tap to view equation

ParameterValuet-statistic
ω

const

Unconditional variance weight

60.6663
2.99***
α

ARCH

Response to squared shocks

0.2176
5.60***
β

GARCH

Volatility persistence

0.9600
43.10***
ν

DF

Student-t tail thickness

200.0000
0.07

Persistence:

0.960

Half-life:

17 days