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Empa Elektronik Sanayi VE Ticaret AS GAS-GARCH Student T Volatility Analysis

Volatility prediction for Wednesday, August 5th, 2026

1 Day

126.30%

increased by 8.32%

1 Week

126.47%

increased by 8.49%

1 Month

127.00%

increased by 9.02%

Analysis last updated: Wednesday, August 5, 2026 at 08:28 PM UTC

Date Range:

from

to

6M ·

All

graph of Empa Elektronik Sanayi VE Ticaret AS GAS-GARCH-T

News Impact Curve

How returns affect tomorrow's volatility

Volatility Forecast

How volatility evolves over time

Parameter Estimates

Feb 26, 2026 to Jul 31, 2026

Model Insight

Volatility shocks decay with a half-life of 19 trading days, meaning a shock loses half its impact after approximately 19 days. Returns follow a Student-t distribution with v = 200.00 degrees of freedom, capturing fatter tails than a normal distribution.

𝑓

GAS-GARCH-T Model

Tap to view equation

ParameterValuet-statistic
ω

const

Unconditional variance weight

65.7454
3.45***
α

ARCH

Response to squared shocks

0.2126
6.12***
β

GARCH

Volatility persistence

0.9643
53.49***
ν

DF

Student-t tail thickness

200.0000
0.08

Persistence:

0.964

Half-life:

19 days