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V-Lab
V-Lab

Empa Elektronik Sanayi VE Ticaret AS GAS-GARCH Student T Volatility Analysis

Volatility prediction for Wednesday, October 7th, 2026

1 Day

81.91%

decreased by 5.60%

1 Week

85.72%

decreased by 1.79%

1 Month

96.06%

increased by 8.55%

Analysis last updated: Wednesday, October 7, 2026 at 08:41 PM UTC

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Date Range:

from

10/06/2024

to

10/06/2026

6M ·

All

graph of Empa Elektronik Sanayi VE Ticaret AS GAS-GARCH-T

News Impact Curve

How returns affect tomorrow's volatility

Volatility Forecast

How volatility evolves over time

Parameter Estimates

Feb 26, 2026 to Oct 2, 2026

Model Insight

Volatility shocks decay with a half-life of 14 trading days, meaning a shock loses half its impact after approximately 14 days. Returns follow a Student-t distribution with v = 200.00 degrees of freedom, capturing fatter tails than a normal distribution.

𝑓

GAS-GARCH-T Model

Tap to view equation

Shock decay: Shocks decay with a 14-day half-lifev = 200.00 · fat tails
ParamValuet-stat
ωconst54.1770
0.61
αARCH0.2196
1.02
βGARCH0.9517
8.77***
νDF200.0000
0.01

0.952

Persistence

14d

Half-life
𝑓

GAS-GARCH-T Model

Tap to view equation

ParameterValuet-statistic
ω

const

Unconditional variance weight

54.1770
0.61
α

ARCH

Response to squared shocks

0.2196
1.02
β

GARCH

Volatility persistence

0.9517
8.77***
ν

DF

Student-t tail thickness

200.0000
0.01

Persistence:

0.952

Half-life:

14 days