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Empa Elektronik Sanayi VE Ticaret AS GARCH Volatility Analysis

Volatility prediction for Friday, October 16th, 2026

1 Day

60.30%

decreased by 1.91%

1 Week

66.13%

increased by 3.92%

1 Month

79.05%

increased by 16.84%

Analysis last updated: Friday, October 16, 2026 at 08:58 PM UTC

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Date Range:

from

10/15/2024

to

10/15/2026

6M ·

All

graph of Empa Elektronik Sanayi VE Ticaret AS GARCH

News Impact Curve

How returns affect tomorrow's volatility

Volatility Forecast

How volatility evolves over time

Parameter Estimates

Feb 26, 2026 to Oct 9, 2026

Model Insight

Volatility shocks decay with a half-life of 9 trading days, meaning a shock loses half its impact after approximately 9 days.

σ

GARCH Model

Tap to view equation

Shock decay: Shocks decay with a 9-day half-life
ParamValuet-stat
ωconst2.6241
1.00
αARCH0.1888
2.68***
βGARCH0.7384
7.00***

0.927

Persistence

9d

Half-life
σ

GARCH Model

Tap to view equation

ParameterValuet-statistic
ω

const

Unconditional variance weight

2.6241
1.00
α

ARCH

Response to squared shocks

0.1888
2.68***
β

GARCH

Volatility persistence

0.7384
7.00***

Persistence:

0.927

Half-life:

9 days