Empa Elektronik Sanayi VE Ticaret AS GARCH Volatility Analysis
Volatility prediction for Friday, October 16th, 2026
1 Day
60.30%
decreased by 1.91%
1 Week
66.13%
increased by 3.92%
1 Month
79.05%
increased by 16.84%
Analysis last updated: Friday, October 16, 2026 at 08:58 PM UTC
News Impact Curve
How returns affect tomorrow's volatilityVolatility Forecast
How volatility evolves over timeParameter Estimates
Feb 26, 2026 to Oct 9, 2026Model Insight
Volatility shocks decay with a half-life of 9 trading days, meaning a shock loses half its impact after approximately 9 days.
σ
GARCH Model
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Shock decay: Shocks decay with a 9-day half-life
| Param | Value | t-stat |
|---|---|---|
| ωconst | 2.6241 | 1.00 |
| αARCH | 0.1888 | 2.68*** |
| βGARCH | 0.7384 | 7.00*** |
0.927
Persistence9d
Half-lifeσ
GARCH Model
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| Parameter | Value | t-statistic |
|---|---|---|
ω const Unconditional variance weight | 2.6241 | 1.00 |
α ARCH Response to squared shocks | 0.1888 | 2.68*** |
β GARCH Volatility persistence | 0.7384 | 7.00*** |
Persistence:
0.927
Half-life:
9 days
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