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V-Lab

Theta Edge Berhad GARCH Volatility Analysis

Volatility prediction for Monday, August 10th, 2026

1 Day

151.11%

decreased by 5.65%

1 Week

147.23%

decreased by 9.53%

1 Month

134.79%

decreased by 21.97%

Analysis last updated: Sunday, August 9, 2026 at 12:10 AM UTC

Date Range:

from

to

6M ·

1Y ·

2Y ·

5Y ·

10Y ·

All

graph of Theta Edge Berhad GARCH

News Impact Curve

How returns affect tomorrow's volatility

Volatility Forecast

How volatility evolves over time

Parameter Estimates

Aug 24, 1995 to Aug 7, 2026

Model Insight

Volatility shocks decay with a half-life of 16 trading days, meaning a shock loses half its impact after approximately 16 days.

σ

GARCH Model

Tap to view equation

ParameterValuet-statistic
ω

const

Unconditional variance weight

1.5094
18.94***
α

ARCH

Response to squared shocks

0.1328
25.95***
β

GARCH

Volatility persistence

0.8241
144.80***

Persistence:

0.957

Half-life:

16 days