V-Lab
Theta Edge Berhad GARCH Volatility Analysis
Volatility prediction for Monday, August 10th, 2026
1 Day
151.11%
decreased by 5.65%
1 Week
147.23%
decreased by 9.53%
1 Month
134.79%
decreased by 21.97%
Analysis last updated: Sunday, August 9, 2026 at 12:10 AM UTC
News Impact Curve
How returns affect tomorrow's volatilityVolatility Forecast
How volatility evolves over timeParameter Estimates
Aug 24, 1995 to Aug 7, 2026Model Insight
Volatility shocks decay with a half-life of 16 trading days, meaning a shock loses half its impact after approximately 16 days.
σ
GARCH Model
Tap to view equation
| Parameter | Value | t-statistic |
|---|---|---|
ω const Unconditional variance weight | 1.5094 | 18.94*** |
α ARCH Response to squared shocks | 0.1328 | 25.95*** |
β GARCH Volatility persistence | 0.8241 | 144.80*** |
Persistence:
0.957
Half-life:
16 days
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