V-Lab
Bayer AG GARCH Volatility Analysis
Volatility prediction for Monday, August 10th, 2026
1 Day
37.15%
decreased by 1.07%
1 Week
37.03%
decreased by 1.19%
1 Month
36.61%
decreased by 1.61%
Analysis last updated: Saturday, August 8, 2026 at 08:00 PM UTC
News Impact Curve
How returns affect tomorrow's volatilityVolatility Forecast
How volatility evolves over timeParameter Estimates
Jan 2, 1990 to Aug 7, 2026Model Insight
Volatility shocks decay with a half-life of 53 trading days, meaning a shock loses half its impact after approximately 53 days.
σ
GARCH Model
Tap to view equation
| Parameter | Value | t-statistic |
|---|---|---|
ω const Unconditional variance weight | 0.0537 | 17.88*** |
α ARCH Response to squared shocks | 0.0585 | 30.99*** |
β GARCH Volatility persistence | 0.9286 | 438.21*** |
Persistence:
0.987
Half-life:
53 days
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