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V-Lab

Bayer AG Asy. MEM Volatility Analysis

Volatility prediction for Thursday, July 16th, 2026

1 Day

44.74%

decreased by 1.90%

1 Week

44.25%

decreased by 2.39%

1 Month

42.49%

decreased by 4.15%

Analysis last updated: Thursday, July 16, 2026 at 06:43 PM UTC

Date Range:

from

to

6M ·

1Y ·

2Y ·

5Y ·

10Y ·

All

graph of Bayer AG AMEM

News Impact Curve

How returns affect tomorrow's volatility

Volatility Forecast

How volatility evolves over time

Parameter Estimates

Jan 2, 1990 to Jul 10, 2026

Model Insight

This asset exhibits a modest leverage effect: negative returns increase next-day volatility 34% more than equivalent positive returns.

μ

AMEM Model

Tap to view equation

ParameterValuet-statistic
ω

const

Unconditional variance weight

0.0937
27.33***
α

ARCH

Response to squared shocks

0.1517
32.48***
β

GARCH

Volatility persistence

0.7992
305.72***
γ

leverage

Additional response to negative shocks

0.0521
7.38***

Persistence:

0.977

Half-life:

30 days