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V-Lab

Bayer AG Asy. MEM Volatility Analysis

Volatility prediction for Tuesday, October 6th, 2026

1 Day

39.98%

increased by 0.40%

1 Week

39.63%

increased by 0.05%

1 Month

38.41%

decreased by 1.17%

Analysis last updated: Tuesday, October 6, 2026 at 06:46 PM UTC

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Date Range:

from

10/05/2024

to

10/05/2026

6M ·

1Y ·

2Y ·

5Y ·

10Y ·

All

graph of Bayer AG AMEM

News Impact Curve

How returns affect tomorrow's volatility

Volatility Forecast

How volatility evolves over time

Parameter Estimates

Jan 2, 1990 to Oct 2, 2026

Model Insight

Volatility shocks decay with a half-life of 29 trading days, meaning a shock loses half its impact after approximately 29 days.

μ

AMEM Model

Tap to view equation

Shock decay: Shocks decay with a 29-day half-life
ParamValuet-stat
ωconst0.0955
6.99***
αARCH0.1508
8.44***
βGARCH0.7982
76.68***
γleverage0.0539
1.96*

0.976

Persistence

29d

Half-life
μ

AMEM Model

Tap to view equation

ParameterValuet-statistic
ω

const

Unconditional variance weight

0.0955
6.99***
α

ARCH

Response to squared shocks

0.1508
8.44***
β

GARCH

Volatility persistence

0.7982
76.68***
γ

leverage

Additional response to negative shocks

0.0539
1.96*

Persistence:

0.976

Half-life:

29 days