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V-Lab

Taisei Corp Asy. MEM Volatility Analysis

Volatility prediction for Tuesday, October 6th, 2026

1 Day

28.85%

decreased by 1.85%

1 Week

29.42%

decreased by 1.28%

1 Month

31.39%

increased by 0.69%

Analysis last updated: Tuesday, October 6, 2026 at 07:24 PM UTC

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Date Range:

from

10/05/2024

to

10/05/2026

6M ·

1Y ·

2Y ·

5Y ·

10Y ·

All

graph of Taisei Corp AMEM

News Impact Curve

How returns affect tomorrow's volatility

Volatility Forecast

How volatility evolves over time

Parameter Estimates

Nov 30, 1990 to Oct 2, 2026

Model Insight

Volatility shocks decay with a half-life of 38 trading days, meaning a shock loses half its impact after approximately 38 days.

μ

AMEM Model

Tap to view equation

Shock decay: Shocks decay with a 38-day half-life
ParamValuet-stat
ωconst0.1274
5.96***
αARCH0.1985
10.28***
βGARCH0.7781
66.52***
γleverage0.0110
0.33

0.982

Persistence

38d

Half-life
μ

AMEM Model

Tap to view equation

ParameterValuet-statistic
ω

const

Unconditional variance weight

0.1274
5.96***
α

ARCH

Response to squared shocks

0.1985
10.28***
β

GARCH

Volatility persistence

0.7781
66.52***
γ

leverage

Additional response to negative shocks

0.0110
0.33

Persistence:

0.982

Half-life:

38 days