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V-Lab

K+S AG Asy. MEM Volatility Analysis

Volatility prediction for Monday, July 20th, 2026

1 Day

35.58%

increased by 4.50%

1 Week

35.68%

increased by 4.60%

1 Month

36.01%

increased by 4.93%

Analysis last updated: Saturday, July 18, 2026 at 11:05 PM UTC

Date Range:

from

to

6M ·

1Y ·

2Y ·

5Y ·

10Y ·

All

graph of K+S AG AMEM

News Impact Curve

How returns affect tomorrow's volatility

Volatility Forecast

How volatility evolves over time

Parameter Estimates

Jan 2, 1990 to Jul 17, 2026

Model Insight

This asset exhibits a modest leverage effect: negative returns increase next-day volatility 26% more than equivalent positive returns.

μ

AMEM Model

Tap to view equation

ParameterValuet-statistic
ω

const

Unconditional variance weight

0.1801
30.17***
α

ARCH

Response to squared shocks

0.1285
26.28***
β

GARCH

Volatility persistence

0.8218
248.05***
γ

leverage

Additional response to negative shocks

0.0337
4.61***

Persistence:

0.967

Half-life:

21 days