K+S AG Asy. MEM Volatility Analysis
Volatility prediction for Monday, July 20th, 2026
1 Day
35.58%
increased by 4.50%
1 Week
35.68%
increased by 4.60%
1 Month
36.01%
increased by 4.93%
Analysis last updated: Saturday, July 18, 2026 at 11:05 PM UTC
News Impact Curve
How returns affect tomorrow's volatilityVolatility Forecast
How volatility evolves over timeParameter Estimates
Jan 2, 1990 to Jul 17, 2026Model Insight
This asset exhibits a modest leverage effect: negative returns increase next-day volatility 26% more than equivalent positive returns.
μ
AMEM Model
Tap to view equation
| Parameter | Value | t-statistic |
|---|---|---|
ω const Unconditional variance weight | 0.1801 | 30.17*** |
α ARCH Response to squared shocks | 0.1285 | 26.28*** |
β GARCH Volatility persistence | 0.8218 | 248.05*** |
γ leverage Additional response to negative shocks | 0.0337 | 4.61*** |
Persistence:
0.967
Half-life:
21 days
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