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V-Lab

K+S AG MF2-GARCH Volatility Analysis

Volatility prediction for Monday, August 24th, 2026

1 Day

41.69%

increased by 5.26%

1 Week

39.75%

increased by 3.32%

1 Month

36.79%

increased by 0.36%

Analysis last updated: Saturday, August 22, 2026 at 08:29 PM UTC

Date Range:

from

to

6M ·

1Y ·

2Y ·

5Y ·

10Y ·

All

graph of K+S AG MF2-GARCH

News Impact Curve

How returns affect tomorrow's volatility

Volatility Forecast

How volatility evolves over time

Parameter Estimates

Jan 2, 1990 to Aug 21, 2026

Model Insight

This asset exhibits a modest leverage effect: negative returns increase next-day volatility 34% more than equivalent positive returns.

σ

MF2-GARCH Model

Tap to view equation

ParameterValuet-statistic
m

window

Rolling window length

116
α

ARCH

Response to squared shocks

0.0685
19.56***
β

GARCH

Volatility persistence

0.7854
96.56***
γ

leverage

Additional response to negative shocks

0.0233
4.74***
λ₁

tau intercept

Baseline long-term coefficient

1.1898
0.73
λ₂

forecast adj.

Forecast performance sensitivity

0.7600
0.84
λ₃

tau persistence

Long-term factor persistence

0.0000
0.00

Persistence:

0.866

Half-life:

5 days