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V-Lab

K+S AG MF2-GARCH Volatility Analysis

Volatility prediction for Thursday, October 22nd, 2026

1 Day

38.81%

decreased by 1.16%

1 Week

37.76%

decreased by 2.21%

1 Month

35.45%

decreased by 4.52%

Analysis last updated: Thursday, October 22, 2026 at 06:44 PM UTC

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Date Range:

from

10/21/2024

to

10/21/2026

6M ·

1Y ·

2Y ·

5Y ·

10Y ·

All

graph of K+S AG MF2-GARCH

News Impact Curve

How returns affect tomorrow's volatility

Volatility Forecast

How volatility evolves over time

Parameter Estimates

Jan 2, 1990 to Oct 16, 2026

Model Insight

Volatility shocks decay with a half-life of 5 trading days, meaning a shock loses half its impact after approximately 5 days.

σ

MF2-GARCH Model

Tap to view equation

Shock decay: Shocks decay with a 5-day half-life
ParamValuet-stat
mwindow116
αARCH0.0672
4.32***
βGARCH0.7879
23.24***
γleverage0.0236
1.12
λ₁tau intercept1.1891
1.86*
λ₂forecast adj.0.7586
4.32***
λ₃tau persistence0.0000
0.00

0.867

Persistence

5d

Half-life
σ

MF2-GARCH Model

Tap to view equation

ParameterValuet-statistic
m

window

Rolling window length

116
α

ARCH

Response to squared shocks

0.0672
4.32***
β

GARCH

Volatility persistence

0.7879
23.24***
γ

leverage

Additional response to negative shocks

0.0236
1.12
λ₁

tau intercept

Baseline long-term coefficient

1.1891
1.86*
λ₂

forecast adj.

Forecast performance sensitivity

0.7586
4.32***
λ₃

tau persistence

Long-term factor persistence

0.0000
0.00

Persistence:

0.867

Half-life:

5 days