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V-Lab

Zensho Holdings Co Ltd MF2-GARCH Volatility Analysis

Volatility prediction for Friday, August 14th, 2026

1 Day

54.52%

decreased by 4.15%

1 Week

52.59%

decreased by 6.08%

1 Month

49.42%

decreased by 9.25%

Analysis last updated: Friday, August 14, 2026 at 06:40 PM UTC

Date Range:

from

to

6M ·

1Y ·

2Y ·

5Y ·

All

graph of Zensho Holdings Co Ltd MF2-GARCH

News Impact Curve

How returns affect tomorrow's volatility

Volatility Forecast

How volatility evolves over time

Parameter Estimates

Jul 21, 2020 to Aug 7, 2026

Model Insight

This asset shows a rare inverse leverage effect: positive returns raise next-day volatility 104% more than negative returns. Volatility rises more after gains than after losses, the reverse of the usual leverage effect and uncommon among risky assets.

σ

MF2-GARCH Model

Tap to view equation

ParameterValuet-statistic
m

window

Rolling window length

126
α

ARCH

Response to squared shocks

0.1152
9.34***
β

GARCH

Volatility persistence

0.7628
18.16***
γ

leverage

Additional response to negative shocks

-0.0587
-3.09***
λ₁

tau intercept

Baseline long-term coefficient

0.0088
0.37
λ₂

forecast adj.

Forecast performance sensitivity

0.0154
1.44
λ₃

tau persistence

Long-term factor persistence

0.9846
63.03***

Persistence:

0.849

Half-life:

4 days