Zensho Holdings Co Ltd GJR-GARCH Volatility Analysis
Volatility prediction for Tuesday, July 14th, 2026
1 Day
42.50%
increased by 0.19%
1 Week
41.05%
decreased by 1.26%
1 Month
37.51%
decreased by 4.80%
Analysis last updated: Tuesday, July 14, 2026 at 06:32 PM UTC
News Impact Curve
How returns affect tomorrow's volatilityVolatility Forecast
How volatility evolves over timeParameter Estimates
Jul 21, 2020 to Jul 10, 2026Model Insight
This asset shows a rare inverse leverage effect: positive returns raise next-day volatility 49% more than negative returns. Volatility rises more after gains than after losses, the reverse of the usual leverage effect and uncommon among risky assets.
σ
GJR-GARCH Model
Tap to view equation
| Parameter | Value | t-statistic |
|---|---|---|
ω const Unconditional variance weight | 0.3931 | 8.29*** |
α ARCH Response to squared shocks | 0.1202 | 9.56*** |
β GARCH Volatility persistence | 0.8079 | 58.50*** |
γ leverage Additional response to negative shocks | -0.0397 | -2.20** |
Persistence:
0.908
Half-life:
7 days
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