V-Lab
True Colors Ltd GJR-GARCH Volatility Analysis
Volatility prediction for Monday, August 24th, 2026
1 Day
39.35%
decreased by 1.25%
1 Week
42.08%
increased by 1.48%
1 Month
48.03%
increased by 7.43%
Analysis last updated: Saturday, August 22, 2026 at 09:17 PM UTC
News Impact Curve
How returns affect tomorrow's volatilityVolatility Forecast
How volatility evolves over timeParameter Estimates
Sep 30, 2025 to Aug 21, 2026Model Insight
Volatility shocks decay with a half-life of 8 trading days, meaning a shock loses half its impact after approximately 8 days.
σ
GJR-GARCH Model
Tap to view equation
| Parameter | Value | t-statistic |
|---|---|---|
ω const Unconditional variance weight | 0.9833 | 4.89*** |
α ARCH Response to squared shocks | 0.1209 | 4.28*** |
β GARCH Volatility persistence | 0.7888 | 26.30*** |
γ leverage Additional response to negative shocks | 0.0165 | 0.38 |
Persistence:
0.918
Half-life:
8 days
Other True Colors Ltd Analyses
Other GJR-GARCH Analyses on International Equities