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V-Lab

True Colors Ltd GJR-GARCH Volatility Analysis

Volatility prediction for Monday, August 24th, 2026

1 Day

39.35%

decreased by 1.25%

1 Week

42.08%

increased by 1.48%

1 Month

48.03%

increased by 7.43%

Analysis last updated: Saturday, August 22, 2026 at 09:17 PM UTC

Date Range:

from

to

6M ·

All

graph of True Colors Ltd GJR-GARCH

News Impact Curve

How returns affect tomorrow's volatility

Volatility Forecast

How volatility evolves over time

Parameter Estimates

Sep 30, 2025 to Aug 21, 2026

Model Insight

Volatility shocks decay with a half-life of 8 trading days, meaning a shock loses half its impact after approximately 8 days.

σ

GJR-GARCH Model

Tap to view equation

ParameterValuet-statistic
ω

const

Unconditional variance weight

0.9833
4.89***
α

ARCH

Response to squared shocks

0.1209
4.28***
β

GARCH

Volatility persistence

0.7888
26.30***
γ

leverage

Additional response to negative shocks

0.0165
0.38

Persistence:

0.918

Half-life:

8 days