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V-Lab

True Colors Ltd Asy. Power MEM Volatility Analysis

Volatility prediction for Tuesday, July 14th, 2026

1 Day

35.15%

decreased by 1.58%

1 Week

35.70%

decreased by 1.03%

1 Month

37.66%

increased by 0.93%

Analysis last updated: Tuesday, July 14, 2026 at 06:48 PM UTC

Date Range:

from

to

6M ·

All

graph of True Colors Ltd APMEM

News Impact Curve

How returns affect tomorrow's volatility

Volatility Forecast

How volatility evolves over time

Parameter Estimates

Sep 30, 2025 to Jul 10, 2026

Model Insight

Volatility shocks decay with a half-life of 67 trading days, meaning a shock loses half its impact after approximately 67 days. The volatility power δ = 2.38 sits above 2, so large shocks influence volatility more than quadratically, dominating the response more than in standard GARCH.

μ

APMEM Model

Tap to view equation

ParameterValuet-statistic
ω

const

Unconditional variance weight

0.1951
3.54***
α

ARCH

Response to squared shocks

0.1310
9.83***
β

GARCH

Volatility persistence

0.8359
54.12***
γ

leverage

Additional response to negative shocks

0.0567
1.81*
δ

power

Transformation power

2.3830
5.80***

Persistence:

0.990

Half-life:

67 days