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V-Lab

Tianjin Pengling Rubber Hose Co Ltd Asy. Power MEM Volatility Analysis

Volatility prediction for Monday, August 10th, 2026

1 Day

33.61%

decreased by 0.95%

1 Week

35.64%

increased by 1.08%

1 Month

40.43%

increased by 5.87%

Analysis last updated: Saturday, August 8, 2026 at 07:28 PM UTC

Date Range:

from

to

6M ·

1Y ·

2Y ·

5Y ·

10Y ·

All

graph of Tianjin Pengling Rubber Hose Co Ltd APMEM

News Impact Curve

How returns affect tomorrow's volatility

Volatility Forecast

How volatility evolves over time

Parameter Estimates

Jan 27, 2014 to Aug 7, 2026

Model Insight

This asset shows a rare inverse leverage effect: positive returns raise next-day volatility 14% more than negative returns. Volatility rises more after gains than after losses, the reverse of the usual leverage effect and uncommon among risky assets. The volatility power δ = 1.69 sits below 2, so large shocks influence volatility less than quadratically, a more outlier-robust response than standard GARCH.

μ

APMEM Model

Tap to view equation

ParameterValuet-statistic
ω

const

Unconditional variance weight

0.4629
5.35***
α

ARCH

Response to squared shocks

0.2916
36.35***
β

GARCH

Volatility persistence

0.6616
94.39***
γ

leverage

Additional response to negative shocks

-0.0386
-4.68***
δ

power

Transformation power

1.6864
10.54***

Persistence:

0.925

Half-life:

9 days