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V-Lab

Tianjin Pengling Rubber Hose Co Ltd Asy. Power MEM Volatility Analysis

Volatility prediction for Tuesday, July 14th, 2026

1 Day

44.51%

increased by 1.01%

1 Week

44.81%

increased by 1.31%

1 Month

45.57%

increased by 2.07%

Analysis last updated: Tuesday, July 14, 2026 at 06:21 PM UTC

Date Range:

from

to

6M ·

1Y ·

2Y ·

5Y ·

10Y ·

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graph of Tianjin Pengling Rubber Hose Co Ltd APMEM

News Impact Curve

How returns affect tomorrow's volatility

Volatility Forecast

How volatility evolves over time

Parameter Estimates

Jan 27, 2014 to Jul 10, 2026

Model Insight

This asset shows a rare inverse leverage effect: positive returns raise next-day volatility 14% more than negative returns. Volatility rises more after gains than after losses, the reverse of the usual leverage effect and uncommon among risky assets. The volatility power δ = 1.67 sits below 2, so large shocks influence volatility less than quadratically, a more outlier-robust response than standard GARCH.

μ

APMEM Model

Tap to view equation

ParameterValuet-statistic
ω

const

Unconditional variance weight

0.4579
5.29***
α

ARCH

Response to squared shocks

0.2915
36.24***
β

GARCH

Volatility persistence

0.6622
94.18***
γ

leverage

Additional response to negative shocks

-0.0392
-4.72***
δ

power

Transformation power

1.6730
10.32***

Persistence:

0.925

Half-life:

9 days