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V-Lab

Tianjin Pengling Rubber Hose Co Ltd AGARCH Volatility Analysis

Volatility prediction for Tuesday, July 14th, 2026

1 Day

38.81%

decreased by 0.86%

1 Week

41.01%

increased by 1.34%

1 Month

46.23%

increased by 6.56%

Analysis last updated: Tuesday, July 14, 2026 at 06:21 PM UTC

Date Range:

from

to

6M ·

1Y ·

2Y ·

5Y ·

10Y ·

All

graph of Tianjin Pengling Rubber Hose Co Ltd AGARCH

News Impact Curve

How returns affect tomorrow's volatility

Volatility Forecast

How volatility evolves over time

Parameter Estimates

Jan 27, 2014 to Jul 10, 2026

Model Insight

Volatility shocks decay with a half-life of 10 trading days, meaning a shock loses half its impact after approximately 10 days.

σ

AGARCH Model

Tap to view equation

ParameterValuet-statistic
ω

const

Unconditional variance weight

0.7905
22.05***
α

ARCH

Response to squared shocks

0.1882
31.09***
β

GARCH

Volatility persistence

0.7421
120.60***
γ

leverage

Additional response to negative shocks

0.0462
0.41

Persistence:

0.930

Half-life:

10 days