Tianjin Pengling Rubber Hose Co Ltd AGARCH Volatility Analysis
Volatility prediction for Tuesday, July 14th, 2026
1 Day
38.81%
decreased by 0.86%
1 Week
41.01%
increased by 1.34%
1 Month
46.23%
increased by 6.56%
Analysis last updated: Tuesday, July 14, 2026 at 06:21 PM UTC
News Impact Curve
How returns affect tomorrow's volatilityVolatility Forecast
How volatility evolves over timeParameter Estimates
Jan 27, 2014 to Jul 10, 2026Model Insight
Volatility shocks decay with a half-life of 10 trading days, meaning a shock loses half its impact after approximately 10 days.
σ
AGARCH Model
Tap to view equation
| Parameter | Value | t-statistic |
|---|---|---|
ω const Unconditional variance weight | 0.7905 | 22.05*** |
α ARCH Response to squared shocks | 0.1882 | 31.09*** |
β GARCH Volatility persistence | 0.7421 | 120.60*** |
γ leverage Additional response to negative shocks | 0.0462 | 0.41 |
Persistence:
0.930
Half-life:
10 days
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