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V-Lab

Tianjin Pengling Rubber Hose Co Ltd GAS-GARCH Student T Volatility Analysis

Volatility prediction for Tuesday, July 14th, 2026

1 Day

49.65%

increased by 6.99%

1 Week

50.08%

increased by 7.42%

1 Month

51.51%

increased by 8.85%

Analysis last updated: Tuesday, July 14, 2026 at 06:21 PM UTC

Date Range:

from

to

6M ·

1Y ·

2Y ·

5Y ·

10Y ·

All

graph of Tianjin Pengling Rubber Hose Co Ltd GAS-GARCH-T

News Impact Curve

How returns affect tomorrow's volatility

Volatility Forecast

How volatility evolves over time

Parameter Estimates

Jan 27, 2014 to Jul 10, 2026

Model Insight

Volatility shocks decay with a half-life of 29 trading days, meaning a shock loses half its impact after approximately 29 days. Returns follow a Student-t distribution with v = 4.80 degrees of freedom, capturing fatter tails than a normal distribution.

𝑓

GAS-GARCH-T Model

Tap to view equation

ParameterValuet-statistic
ω

const

Unconditional variance weight

13.4206
4.31***
α

ARCH

Response to squared shocks

0.1224
25.31***
β

GARCH

Volatility persistence

0.9762
169.59***
ν

DF

Student-t tail thickness

4.8048
8.60***

Persistence:

0.976

Half-life:

29 days