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V-Lab

Strong H Machinery Technology Cayman Inc GAS-GARCH Student T Volatility Analysis

Volatility prediction for Tuesday, July 14th, 2026

1 Day

110.23%

increased by 2.62%

1 Week

110.28%

increased by 2.67%

1 Month

110.52%

increased by 2.91%

Analysis last updated: Tuesday, July 14, 2026 at 08:16 PM UTC

Date Range:

from

to

6M ·

1Y ·

2Y ·

5Y ·

All

graph of Strong H Machinery Technology Cayman Inc GAS-GARCH-T

News Impact Curve

How returns affect tomorrow's volatility

Volatility Forecast

How volatility evolves over time

Parameter Estimates

Dec 9, 2016 to Jul 3, 2026

Model Insight

The estimated Student-t degrees of freedom v = 2.05 sit at the infinite-variance boundary (v → 2): the model is attributing extreme moves to heavy tails rather than to volatility, so the volatility scale is unreliable here. See the boundary-parameters flag.

𝑓

GAS-GARCH-T Model

Tap to view equation

ParameterValuet-statistic
ω

const

Unconditional variance weight

74.1692
10.44***
α

ARCH

Response to squared shocks

0.0623
67.55***
β

GARCH

Volatility persistence

0.9990
ν

DF

Student-t tail thickness

2.0500
4,226.74***

Persistence:

0.999

Half-life:

693 days