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V-Lab

Ventia Services Group Pty Ltd GAS-GARCH Student T Volatility Analysis

Volatility prediction for Friday, August 14th, 2026

1 Day

31.91%

decreased by 0.01%

1 Week

31.96%

increased by 0.04%

1 Month

32.11%

increased by 0.19%

Analysis last updated: Friday, August 14, 2026 at 08:07 PM UTC

Date Range:

from

to

6M ·

1Y ·

2Y ·

All

graph of Ventia Services Group Pty Ltd GAS-GARCH-T

News Impact Curve

How returns affect tomorrow's volatility

Volatility Forecast

How volatility evolves over time

Parameter Estimates

Nov 23, 2021 to Aug 7, 2026

Model Insight

Volatility shocks decay with a half-life of 33 trading days, meaning a shock loses half its impact after approximately 33 days. Returns follow a Student-t distribution with v = 3.37 degrees of freedom, capturing fatter tails than a normal distribution.

𝑓

GAS-GARCH-T Model

Tap to view equation

ParameterValuet-statistic
ω

const

Unconditional variance weight

4.3144
2.32**
α

ARCH

Response to squared shocks

0.0211
3.18***
β

GARCH

Volatility persistence

0.9794
170.06***
ν

DF

Student-t tail thickness

3.3653
2.09**

Persistence:

0.979

Half-life:

33 days