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Ventia Services Group Pty Ltd GAS-GARCH Student T Volatility Analysis

Volatility prediction for Tuesday, July 14th, 2026

1 Day

32.04%

decreased by 0.21%

1 Week

32.09%

decreased by 0.16%

1 Month

32.27%

increased by 0.02%

Analysis last updated: Tuesday, July 14, 2026 at 07:53 PM UTC

Date Range:

from

to

6M ·

1Y ·

2Y ·

All

graph of Ventia Services Group Pty Ltd GAS-GARCH-T

News Impact Curve

How returns affect tomorrow's volatility

Volatility Forecast

How volatility evolves over time

Parameter Estimates

Nov 23, 2021 to Jul 9, 2026

Model Insight

Volatility shocks decay with a half-life of 31 trading days, meaning a shock loses half its impact after approximately 31 days. Returns follow a Student-t distribution with v = 3.31 degrees of freedom, capturing fatter tails than a normal distribution.

𝑓

GAS-GARCH-T Model

Tap to view equation

ParameterValuet-statistic
ω

const

Unconditional variance weight

4.3848
2.30**
α

ARCH

Response to squared shocks

0.0224
3.26***
β

GARCH

Volatility persistence

0.9782
149.87***
ν

DF

Student-t tail thickness

3.3108
2.20**

Persistence:

0.978

Half-life:

31 days