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Ventia Services Group Pty Ltd GAS-GARCH Student T Volatility Analysis

Volatility prediction for Thursday, October 29th, 2026

1 Day

25.74%

increased by 0.31%

1 Week

25.94%

increased by 0.51%

1 Month

26.66%

increased by 1.23%

Analysis last updated: Thursday, October 29, 2026 at 11:49 PM UTC

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Date Range:

from

10/28/2024

to

10/28/2026

6M ·

1Y ·

2Y ·

All

graph of Ventia Services Group Pty Ltd GAS-GARCH-T

News Impact Curve

How returns affect tomorrow's volatility

Volatility Forecast

How volatility evolves over time

Parameter Estimates

Nov 23, 2021 to Oct 23, 2026

Model Insight

Volatility shocks decay with a half-life of 54 trading days, meaning a shock loses half its impact after approximately 54 days. Returns follow a Student-t distribution with v = 5.79 degrees of freedom, capturing fatter tails than a normal distribution.

𝑓

GAS-GARCH-T Model

Tap to view equation

Shock decay: Shocks decay with a 54-day half-lifev = 5.79 · fat tails
ParamValuet-stat
ωlong-run4.7226
0.73
αscore0.0289
1.12
βpersistence0.9872
70.47***
νDF5.7936
0.32

0.987

Persistence

54d

Half-life
𝑓

GAS-GARCH-T Model

Tap to view equation

ParameterValuet-statistic
ω

long-run

Long-run variance given a price move

4.7226
0.73
α

score

Weight on the scaled score

0.0289
1.12
β

persistence

Volatility persistence

0.9872
70.47***
ν

DF

Student-t tail thickness

5.7936
0.32

Persistence:

0.987

Half-life:

54 days