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V-Lab

Ventia Services Group Pty Ltd Asy. Power MEM Volatility Analysis

Volatility prediction for Monday, August 10th, 2026

1 Day

39.03%

increased by 0.23%

1 Week

39.23%

increased by 0.43%

1 Month

39.91%

increased by 1.11%

Analysis last updated: Saturday, August 8, 2026 at 11:40 PM UTC

Date Range:

from

to

6M ·

1Y ·

2Y ·

All

graph of Ventia Services Group Pty Ltd APMEM

News Impact Curve

How returns affect tomorrow's volatility

Volatility Forecast

How volatility evolves over time

Parameter Estimates

Nov 23, 2021 to Aug 7, 2026
Boundary Parameters

Model Insight

Volatility shocks decay with a half-life of 23 trading days, meaning a shock loses half its impact after approximately 23 days. The volatility power δ = 1.67 sits below 2, so large shocks influence volatility less than quadratically, a more outlier-robust response than standard GARCH.

μ

APMEM Model

Tap to view equation

ParameterValuet-statistic
ω

const

Unconditional variance weight

0.1542
3.05***
α

ARCH

Response to squared shocks

0.0097
0.00
β

GARCH

Volatility persistence

0.9564
146.23***
γ

leverage

Additional response to negative shocks

-1.0000
0.00
δ

power

Transformation power

1.6687
8.20***

Persistence:

0.970

Half-life:

23 days