Thalia Therapeutics PLC Asy. Power MEM Volatility Analysis
Volatility prediction for Tuesday, July 21st, 2026
1 Day
89.96%
increased by 0.20%
1 Week
93.06%
increased by 3.30%
1 Month
101.62%
increased by 11.86%
Analysis last updated: Tuesday, July 21, 2026 at 08:03 PM UTC
News Impact Curve
How returns affect tomorrow's volatilityVolatility Forecast
How volatility evolves over timeParameter Estimates
Jan 4, 2007 to Jul 17, 2026Model Insight
This asset exhibits a modest leverage effect: negative returns increase next-day volatility 47% more than equivalent positive returns. The volatility power δ = 1.45 sits below 2, so large shocks influence volatility less than quadratically, a more outlier-robust response than standard GARCH.
μ
APMEM Model
Tap to view equation
| Parameter | Value | t-statistic |
|---|---|---|
ω const Unconditional variance weight | 1.0000 | 9.79*** |
α ARCH Response to squared shocks | 0.1929 | 23.72*** |
β GARCH Volatility persistence | 0.7801 | 78.41*** |
γ leverage Additional response to negative shocks | 0.1321 | 7.12*** |
δ power Transformation power | 1.4453 | 25.99*** |
Persistence:
0.945
Half-life:
12 days
Other Thalia Therapeutics PLC Analyses
Other Asy. Power MEM Analyses on International Equities