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V-Lab

Thalia Therapeutics PLC Asy. Power MEM Volatility Analysis

Volatility prediction for Tuesday, July 21st, 2026

1 Day

89.96%

increased by 0.20%

1 Week

93.06%

increased by 3.30%

1 Month

101.62%

increased by 11.86%

Analysis last updated: Tuesday, July 21, 2026 at 08:03 PM UTC

Date Range:

from

to

6M ·

1Y ·

2Y ·

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10Y ·

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graph of Thalia Therapeutics PLC APMEM

News Impact Curve

How returns affect tomorrow's volatility

Volatility Forecast

How volatility evolves over time

Parameter Estimates

Jan 4, 2007 to Jul 17, 2026

Model Insight

This asset exhibits a modest leverage effect: negative returns increase next-day volatility 47% more than equivalent positive returns. The volatility power δ = 1.45 sits below 2, so large shocks influence volatility less than quadratically, a more outlier-robust response than standard GARCH.

μ

APMEM Model

Tap to view equation

ParameterValuet-statistic
ω

const

Unconditional variance weight

1.0000
9.79***
α

ARCH

Response to squared shocks

0.1929
23.72***
β

GARCH

Volatility persistence

0.7801
78.41***
γ

leverage

Additional response to negative shocks

0.1321
7.12***
δ

power

Transformation power

1.4453
25.99***

Persistence:

0.945

Half-life:

12 days