V-Lab
SAP SE Asy. Power MEM Volatility Analysis
Volatility prediction for Monday, August 10th, 2026
1 Day
44.71%
decreased by 1.94%
1 Week
43.81%
decreased by 2.84%
1 Month
40.88%
decreased by 5.77%
Analysis last updated: Saturday, August 8, 2026 at 08:26 PM UTC
News Impact Curve
How returns affect tomorrow's volatilityVolatility Forecast
How volatility evolves over timeParameter Estimates
Jan 28, 1991 to Aug 7, 2026Model Insight
This asset exhibits a modest leverage effect: negative returns increase next-day volatility 38% more than equivalent positive returns. The volatility power δ = 1.71 sits below 2, so large shocks influence volatility less than quadratically, a more outlier-robust response than standard GARCH.
μ
APMEM Model
Tap to view equation
| Parameter | Value | t-statistic |
|---|---|---|
ω const Unconditional variance weight | 0.1120 | 15.20*** |
α ARCH Response to squared shocks | 0.2009 | 40.37*** |
β GARCH Volatility persistence | 0.7797 | 137.78*** |
γ leverage Additional response to negative shocks | 0.0937 | 11.95*** |
δ power Transformation power | 1.7066 | 40.80*** |
Persistence:
0.963
Half-life:
18 days
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