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V-Lab

SAP SE MF2-GARCH Volatility Analysis

Volatility prediction for Monday, August 24th, 2026

1 Day

29.85%

decreased by 1.23%

1 Week

30.52%

decreased by 0.56%

1 Month

32.80%

increased by 1.72%

Analysis last updated: Saturday, August 22, 2026 at 08:54 PM UTC

Date Range:

from

to

6M ·

1Y ·

2Y ·

5Y ·

10Y ·

All

graph of SAP SE MF2-GARCH

News Impact Curve

How returns affect tomorrow's volatility

Volatility Forecast

How volatility evolves over time

Parameter Estimates

Jan 2, 1990 to Aug 21, 2026

Model Insight

This asset exhibits a strong leverage effect: negative returns increase next-day volatility 109% more than equivalent positive returns.

σ

MF2-GARCH Model

Tap to view equation

ParameterValuet-statistic
m

window

Rolling window length

81
α

ARCH

Response to squared shocks

0.0902
21.14***
β

GARCH

Volatility persistence

0.8437
192.36***
γ

leverage

Additional response to negative shocks

0.0980
14.92***
λ₁

tau intercept

Baseline long-term coefficient

8.2942
1.61
λ₂

forecast adj.

Forecast performance sensitivity

0.0000
0.00
λ₃

tau persistence

Long-term factor persistence

0.0000
0.00

Persistence:

0.983

Half-life:

40 days