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V-Lab

Wenzhou Yihua Connector Co., Ltd. MF2-GARCH Volatility Analysis

Volatility prediction for Tuesday, July 14th, 2026

1 Day

73.43%

decreased by 5.31%

1 Week

73.15%

decreased by 5.59%

1 Month

74.01%

decreased by 4.73%

Analysis last updated: Tuesday, July 14, 2026 at 06:19 PM UTC

Date Range:

from

to

6M ·

1Y ·

2Y ·

5Y ·

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graph of Wenzhou Yihua Connector Co., Ltd. MF2-GARCH

News Impact Curve

How returns affect tomorrow's volatility

Volatility Forecast

How volatility evolves over time

Parameter Estimates

Sep 7, 2017 to Jul 10, 2026

Model Insight

This asset shows a rare inverse leverage effect: positive returns raise next-day volatility 33% more than negative returns. Volatility rises more after gains than after losses, the reverse of the usual leverage effect and uncommon among risky assets.

σ

MF2-GARCH Model

Tap to view equation

ParameterValuet-statistic
m

window

Rolling window length

66
α

ARCH

Response to squared shocks

0.1290
18.90***
β

GARCH

Volatility persistence

0.7501
71.00***
γ

leverage

Additional response to negative shocks

-0.0317
-4.14***
λ₁

tau intercept

Baseline long-term coefficient

3.0440
0.28
λ₂

forecast adj.

Forecast performance sensitivity

0.7782
0.29
λ₃

tau persistence

Long-term factor persistence

0.0000
0.00

Persistence:

0.863

Half-life:

5 days