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V-Lab

Wuliangye Yibin Co Ltd MF2-GARCH Volatility Analysis

Volatility prediction for Tuesday, July 14th, 2026

1 Day

29.84%

decreased by 0.63%

1 Week

30.05%

decreased by 0.42%

1 Month

30.82%

increased by 0.35%

Analysis last updated: Tuesday, July 14, 2026 at 06:14 PM UTC

Date Range:

from

to

6M ·

1Y ·

2Y ·

5Y ·

10Y ·

All

graph of Wuliangye Yibin Co Ltd MF2-GARCH

News Impact Curve

How returns affect tomorrow's volatility

Volatility Forecast

How volatility evolves over time

Parameter Estimates

Apr 27, 1998 to Jul 10, 2026

Model Insight

This asset shows a rare inverse leverage effect: positive returns raise next-day volatility 16% more than negative returns. Volatility rises more after gains than after losses, the reverse of the usual leverage effect and uncommon among risky assets.

σ

MF2-GARCH Model

Tap to view equation

ParameterValuet-statistic
m

window

Rolling window length

126
α

ARCH

Response to squared shocks

0.0781
27.70***
β

GARCH

Volatility persistence

0.9013
262.69***
γ

leverage

Additional response to negative shocks

-0.0105
-2.42**
λ₁

tau intercept

Baseline long-term coefficient

0.0182
6.60***
λ₂

forecast adj.

Forecast performance sensitivity

0.0059
4.09***
λ₃

tau persistence

Long-term factor persistence

0.9908
513.09***

Persistence:

0.974

Half-life:

26 days