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V-Lab

Wuliangye Yibin Co Ltd Spline-GARCH Volatility Analysis

Volatility prediction for Monday, July 20th, 2026

1 Day

33.58%

decreased by 0.64%

1 Week

33.52%

decreased by 0.70%

1 Month

33.32%

decreased by 0.90%

Analysis last updated: Saturday, July 18, 2026 at 09:53 PM UTC

Date Range:

from

to

6M ·

1Y ·

2Y ·

5Y ·

10Y ·

All

graph of Wuliangye Yibin Co Ltd SGARCH

News Impact Curve

How returns affect tomorrow's volatility

Volatility Forecast

How volatility evolves over time

Parameter Estimates

Apr 27, 1998 to Jul 17, 2026

Model Insight

This model fits a time-varying baseline (a spline), so volatility mean-reverts toward a slowly-shifting long-run level rather than a constant. Short-run deviations decay with a half-life of 33 trading days.

τ

Spline-GARCH Model

Tap to view equation

ParameterValuet-statistic
ω

const

Unconditional variance weight

0.8730
6.90***
α

ARCH

Response to squared shocks

0.0730
8.33***
β

GARCH

Volatility persistence

0.9059
84.55***
γi Spline Coefficients
K=1
γ1-0.0020
-1.45

Persistence:

0.979

Half-life:

33 days