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V-Lab

Wuliangye Yibin Co Ltd APARCH Volatility Analysis

Volatility prediction for Wednesday, July 15th, 2026

1 Day

29.79%

decreased by 0.75%

1 Week

30.23%

decreased by 0.31%

1 Month

31.80%

increased by 1.26%

Analysis last updated: Wednesday, July 15, 2026 at 06:32 PM UTC

Date Range:

from

to

6M ·

1Y ·

2Y ·

5Y ·

10Y ·

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graph of Wuliangye Yibin Co Ltd APARCH

News Impact Curve

How returns affect tomorrow's volatility

Volatility Forecast

How volatility evolves over time

Parameter Estimates

Apr 27, 1998 to Jul 10, 2026

Model Insight

This asset shows a rare inverse leverage effect: positive returns raise next-day volatility 15% more than negative returns. Volatility rises more after gains than after losses, the reverse of the usual leverage effect and uncommon among risky assets. The volatility power δ = 1.32 sits below 2, so large shocks influence volatility less than quadratically, a more outlier-robust response than standard GARCH.

σ

APARCH Model

Tap to view equation

ParameterValuet-statistic
ω

const

Unconditional variance weight

0.0617
14.12***
α

ARCH

Response to squared shocks

0.0840
33.43***
β

GARCH

Volatility persistence

0.9134
344.82***
γ

leverage

Additional response to negative shocks

-0.0538
-3.11***
δ

power

Transformation power

1.3223
27.07***

Persistence:

0.983

Half-life:

41 days