Wuliangye Yibin Co Ltd APARCH Volatility Analysis
Volatility prediction for Wednesday, July 15th, 2026
1 Day
29.79%
1 Week
30.23%
1 Month
31.80%
Analysis last updated: Wednesday, July 15, 2026 at 06:32 PM UTC
News Impact Curve
How returns affect tomorrow's volatilityVolatility Forecast
How volatility evolves over timeParameter Estimates
Apr 27, 1998 to Jul 10, 2026Model Insight
This asset shows a rare inverse leverage effect: positive returns raise next-day volatility 15% more than negative returns. Volatility rises more after gains than after losses, the reverse of the usual leverage effect and uncommon among risky assets. The volatility power δ = 1.32 sits below 2, so large shocks influence volatility less than quadratically, a more outlier-robust response than standard GARCH.
APARCH Model
Tap to view equation
| Parameter | Value | t-statistic |
|---|---|---|
ω const Unconditional variance weight | 0.0617 | 14.12*** |
α ARCH Response to squared shocks | 0.0840 | 33.43*** |
β GARCH Volatility persistence | 0.9134 | 344.82*** |
γ leverage Additional response to negative shocks | -0.0538 | -3.11*** |
δ power Transformation power | 1.3223 | 27.07*** |
Persistence:
0.983
Half-life:
41 days
Other Wuliangye Yibin Co Ltd Analyses
Other APARCH Analyses on International Equities