Wuliangye Yibin Co Ltd Asy. MEM Volatility Analysis
Volatility prediction for Monday, July 20th, 2026
1 Day
37.42%
increased by 0.79%
1 Week
37.50%
increased by 0.87%
1 Month
37.75%
increased by 1.12%
Analysis last updated: Saturday, July 18, 2026 at 09:51 PM UTC
News Impact Curve
How returns affect tomorrow's volatilityVolatility Forecast
How volatility evolves over timeParameter Estimates
Apr 27, 1998 to Jul 17, 2026Model Insight
This asset exhibits a modest leverage effect: negative returns increase next-day volatility 14% more than equivalent positive returns.
μ
AMEM Model
Tap to view equation
| Parameter | Value | t-statistic |
|---|---|---|
ω const Unconditional variance weight | 0.1272 | 25.04*** |
α ARCH Response to squared shocks | 0.1646 | 35.54*** |
β GARCH Volatility persistence | 0.8030 | 259.60*** |
γ leverage Additional response to negative shocks | 0.0231 | 2.68*** |
Persistence:
0.979
Half-life:
33 days
Other Wuliangye Yibin Co Ltd Analyses
Other Asy. MEM Analyses on International Equities