V-Lab
Deutsche Lufthansa AG Asy. MEM Volatility Analysis
Volatility prediction for Monday, August 10th, 2026
1 Day
42.97%
decreased by 1.07%
1 Week
42.77%
decreased by 1.27%
1 Month
42.06%
decreased by 1.98%
Analysis last updated: Saturday, August 8, 2026 at 08:24 PM UTC
News Impact Curve
How returns affect tomorrow's volatilityVolatility Forecast
How volatility evolves over timeParameter Estimates
Jan 2, 1990 to Aug 7, 2026Model Insight
This asset exhibits a modest leverage effect: negative returns increase next-day volatility 43% more than equivalent positive returns.
μ
AMEM Model
Tap to view equation
| Parameter | Value | t-statistic |
|---|---|---|
ω const Unconditional variance weight | 0.0779 | 24.93*** |
α ARCH Response to squared shocks | 0.0805 | 25.09*** |
β GARCH Volatility persistence | 0.8870 | 387.35*** |
γ leverage Additional response to negative shocks | 0.0345 | 5.89*** |
Persistence:
0.985
Half-life:
45 days
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