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V-Lab

Deutsche Lufthansa AG MF2-GARCH Volatility Analysis

Volatility prediction for Monday, August 24th, 2026

1 Day

40.69%

decreased by 0.88%

1 Week

40.55%

decreased by 1.02%

1 Month

40.01%

decreased by 1.56%

Analysis last updated: Saturday, August 22, 2026 at 08:41 PM UTC

Date Range:

from

to

6M ·

1Y ·

2Y ·

5Y ·

10Y ·

All

graph of Deutsche Lufthansa AG MF2-GARCH

News Impact Curve

How returns affect tomorrow's volatility

Volatility Forecast

How volatility evolves over time

Parameter Estimates

Jan 2, 1990 to Aug 21, 2026

Model Insight

This asset exhibits a strong leverage effect: negative returns increase next-day volatility 223% more than equivalent positive returns.

σ

MF2-GARCH Model

Tap to view equation

ParameterValuet-statistic
m

window

Rolling window length

106
α

ARCH

Response to squared shocks

0.0176
10.48***
β

GARCH

Volatility persistence

0.9314
251.93***
γ

leverage

Additional response to negative shocks

0.0392
14.82***
λ₁

tau intercept

Baseline long-term coefficient

0.0260
3.69***
λ₂

forecast adj.

Forecast performance sensitivity

0.0170
3.41***
λ₃

tau persistence

Long-term factor persistence

0.9773
151.73***

Persistence:

0.969

Half-life:

22 days