Skip to main content
V-Lab

Deutsche Lufthansa AG MF2-GARCH Volatility Analysis

Volatility prediction for Monday, July 27th, 2026

1 Day

40.93%

decreased by 0.15%

1 Week

40.85%

decreased by 0.23%

1 Month

40.43%

decreased by 0.65%

Analysis last updated: Sunday, July 26, 2026 at 12:16 AM UTC

Date Range:

from

to

6M ·

1Y ·

2Y ·

5Y ·

10Y ·

All

graph of Deutsche Lufthansa AG MF2-GARCH

News Impact Curve

How returns affect tomorrow's volatility

Volatility Forecast

How volatility evolves over time

Parameter Estimates

Jan 2, 1990 to Jul 24, 2026

Model Insight

This asset exhibits a strong leverage effect: negative returns increase next-day volatility 226% more than equivalent positive returns.

σ

MF2-GARCH Model

Tap to view equation

ParameterValuet-statistic
m

window

Rolling window length

106
α

ARCH

Response to squared shocks

0.0176
10.46***
β

GARCH

Volatility persistence

0.9309
251.18***
γ

leverage

Additional response to negative shocks

0.0398
14.89***
λ₁

tau intercept

Baseline long-term coefficient

0.0260
3.70***
λ₂

forecast adj.

Forecast performance sensitivity

0.0169
3.42***
λ₃

tau persistence

Long-term factor persistence

0.9774
152.86***

Persistence:

0.968

Half-life:

22 days