V-Lab
Deutsche Lufthansa AG MF2-GARCH Volatility Analysis
Volatility prediction for Monday, July 27th, 2026
1 Day
40.93%
decreased by 0.15%
1 Week
40.85%
decreased by 0.23%
1 Month
40.43%
decreased by 0.65%
Analysis last updated: Sunday, July 26, 2026 at 12:16 AM UTC
News Impact Curve
How returns affect tomorrow's volatilityVolatility Forecast
How volatility evolves over timeParameter Estimates
Jan 2, 1990 to Jul 24, 2026Model Insight
This asset exhibits a strong leverage effect: negative returns increase next-day volatility 226% more than equivalent positive returns.
σ
MF2-GARCH Model
Tap to view equation
| Parameter | Value | t-statistic |
|---|---|---|
m window Rolling window length | 106 | |
α ARCH Response to squared shocks | 0.0176 | 10.46*** |
β GARCH Volatility persistence | 0.9309 | 251.18*** |
γ leverage Additional response to negative shocks | 0.0398 | 14.89*** |
λ₁ tau intercept Baseline long-term coefficient | 0.0260 | 3.70*** |
λ₂ forecast adj. Forecast performance sensitivity | 0.0169 | 3.42*** |
λ₃ tau persistence Long-term factor persistence | 0.9774 | 152.86*** |
Persistence:
0.968
Half-life:
22 days
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