V-Lab
Deutsche Lufthansa AG MF2-GARCH Volatility Analysis
Volatility prediction for Monday, August 24th, 2026
1 Day
40.69%
decreased by 0.88%
1 Week
40.55%
decreased by 1.02%
1 Month
40.01%
decreased by 1.56%
Analysis last updated: Saturday, August 22, 2026 at 08:41 PM UTC
News Impact Curve
How returns affect tomorrow's volatilityVolatility Forecast
How volatility evolves over timeParameter Estimates
Jan 2, 1990 to Aug 21, 2026Model Insight
This asset exhibits a strong leverage effect: negative returns increase next-day volatility 223% more than equivalent positive returns.
σ
MF2-GARCH Model
Tap to view equation
| Parameter | Value | t-statistic |
|---|---|---|
m window Rolling window length | 106 | |
α ARCH Response to squared shocks | 0.0176 | 10.48*** |
β GARCH Volatility persistence | 0.9314 | 251.93*** |
γ leverage Additional response to negative shocks | 0.0392 | 14.82*** |
λ₁ tau intercept Baseline long-term coefficient | 0.0260 | 3.69*** |
λ₂ forecast adj. Forecast performance sensitivity | 0.0170 | 3.41*** |
λ₃ tau persistence Long-term factor persistence | 0.9773 | 151.73*** |
Persistence:
0.969
Half-life:
22 days
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