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V-Lab

Deutsche Lufthansa AG MF2-GARCH Volatility Analysis

Volatility prediction for Friday, September 18th, 2026

1 Day

32.43%

decreased by 0.44%

1 Week

32.67%

decreased by 0.20%

1 Month

33.44%

increased by 0.57%

Analysis last updated: Friday, September 18, 2026 at 07:09 PM UTC

Date Range:

from

to

6M ·

1Y ·

2Y ·

5Y ·

10Y ·

All

graph of Deutsche Lufthansa AG MF2-GARCH

News Impact Curve

How returns affect tomorrow's volatility

Volatility Forecast

How volatility evolves over time

Parameter Estimates

Jan 2, 1990 to Sep 14, 2026

Model Insight

This asset exhibits a strong leverage effect: negative returns increase next-day volatility 213% more than equivalent positive returns.

σ

MF2-GARCH Model

Tap to view equation

Leverage: Negative returns increase volatility 213% more than positive returns
ParamValuet-stat
mwindow106
αARCH0.0182
2.80***
βGARCH0.9307
80.92***
γleverage0.0388
4.47***
λ₁tau intercept0.0259
1.09
λ₂forecast adj.0.0166
1.39
λ₃tau persistence0.9776
58.17***

0.968

Persistence

22d

Half-life
σ

MF2-GARCH Model

Tap to view equation

ParameterValuet-statistic
m

window

Rolling window length

106
α

ARCH

Response to squared shocks

0.0182
2.80***
β

GARCH

Volatility persistence

0.9307
80.92***
γ

leverage

Additional response to negative shocks

0.0388
4.47***
λ₁

tau intercept

Baseline long-term coefficient

0.0259
1.09
λ₂

forecast adj.

Forecast performance sensitivity

0.0166
1.39
λ₃

tau persistence

Long-term factor persistence

0.9776
58.17***

Persistence:

0.968

Half-life:

22 days