V-Lab
Deutsche Lufthansa AG GJR-GARCH Volatility Analysis
Volatility prediction for Monday, July 27th, 2026
1 Day
39.95%
decreased by 0.09%
1 Week
39.84%
decreased by 0.20%
1 Month
39.43%
decreased by 0.61%
Analysis last updated: Sunday, July 26, 2026 at 12:12 AM UTC
News Impact Curve
How returns affect tomorrow's volatilityVolatility Forecast
How volatility evolves over timeParameter Estimates
Jan 2, 1990 to Jul 24, 2026Model Insight
This asset exhibits a strong leverage effect: negative returns increase next-day volatility 212% more than equivalent positive returns.
σ
GJR-GARCH Model
Tap to view equation
| Parameter | Value | t-statistic |
|---|---|---|
ω const Unconditional variance weight | 0.0504 | 19.07*** |
α ARCH Response to squared shocks | 0.0156 | 10.02*** |
β GARCH Volatility persistence | 0.9570 | 594.07*** |
γ leverage Additional response to negative shocks | 0.0332 | 11.90*** |
Persistence:
0.989
Half-life:
64 days
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