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V-Lab

FDM Group (Holdings) plc GJR-GARCH Volatility Analysis

Volatility prediction for Tuesday, July 14th, 2026

1 Day

31.82%

increased by 0.54%

1 Week

32.60%

increased by 1.32%

1 Month

34.23%

increased by 2.95%

Analysis last updated: Tuesday, July 14, 2026 at 08:27 PM UTC

Date Range:

from

to

6M ·

1Y ·

2Y ·

5Y ·

10Y ·

All

graph of FDM Group (Holdings) plc GJR-GARCH

News Impact Curve

How returns affect tomorrow's volatility

Volatility Forecast

How volatility evolves over time

Parameter Estimates

Jun 19, 2014 to Jul 10, 2026

Model Insight

Volatility shocks decay with a half-life of 7 trading days, meaning a shock loses half its impact after approximately 7 days.

σ

GJR-GARCH Model

Tap to view equation

ParameterValuet-statistic
ω

const

Unconditional variance weight

0.5093
11.33***
α

ARCH

Response to squared shocks

0.0572
6.67***
β

GARCH

Volatility persistence

0.8188
66.79***
γ

leverage

Additional response to negative shocks

0.0490
1.78*

Persistence:

0.900

Half-life:

7 days