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FDM Group (Holdings) plc GJR-GARCH Volatility Analysis

Volatility prediction for Wednesday, October 7th, 2026

1 Day

31.96%

increased by 0.12%

1 Week

32.87%

increased by 1.03%

1 Month

34.63%

increased by 2.79%

Analysis last updated: Wednesday, October 7, 2026 at 08:45 PM UTC

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Date Range:

from

10/06/2024

to

10/06/2026

6M ·

1Y ·

2Y ·

5Y ·

10Y ·

All

graph of FDM Group (Holdings) plc GJR-GARCH

News Impact Curve

How returns affect tomorrow's volatility

Volatility Forecast

How volatility evolves over time

Parameter Estimates

Jun 19, 2014 to Oct 2, 2026

Model Insight

Volatility shocks decay with a half-life of 6 trading days, meaning a shock loses half its impact after approximately 6 days.

σ

GJR-GARCH Model

Tap to view equation

Shock decay: Shocks decay with a 6-day half-life
ParamValuet-stat
ωconst0.6052
3.00***
αARCH0.0746
1.84*
βGARCH0.7898
14.80***
γleverage0.0381
0.31

0.883

Persistence

6d

Half-life
σ

GJR-GARCH Model

Tap to view equation

ParameterValuet-statistic
ω

const

Unconditional variance weight

0.6052
3.00***
α

ARCH

Response to squared shocks

0.0746
1.84*
β

GARCH

Volatility persistence

0.7898
14.80***
γ

leverage

Additional response to negative shocks

0.0381
0.31

Persistence:

0.883

Half-life:

6 days