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V-Lab

FDM Group (Holdings) plc GJR-GARCH Volatility Analysis

Volatility prediction for Wednesday, August 5th, 2026

1 Day

54.48%

decreased by 4.43%

1 Week

51.54%

decreased by 7.37%

1 Month

44.63%

decreased by 14.28%

Analysis last updated: Wednesday, August 5, 2026 at 08:22 PM UTC

Date Range:

from

to

6M ·

1Y ·

2Y ·

5Y ·

10Y ·

All

graph of FDM Group (Holdings) plc GJR-GARCH

News Impact Curve

How returns affect tomorrow's volatility

Volatility Forecast

How volatility evolves over time

Parameter Estimates

Jun 19, 2014 to Jul 31, 2026

Model Insight

Volatility shocks decay with a half-life of 6 trading days, meaning a shock loses half its impact after approximately 6 days.

σ

GJR-GARCH Model

Tap to view equation

ParameterValuet-statistic
ω

const

Unconditional variance weight

0.5462
11.75***
α

ARCH

Response to squared shocks

0.0665
7.12***
β

GARCH

Volatility persistence

0.8070
64.29***
γ

leverage

Additional response to negative shocks

0.0434
1.47

Persistence:

0.895

Half-life:

6 days