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FDM Group (Holdings) plc GJR-GARCH Volatility Analysis

Volatility prediction for Thursday, October 29th, 2026

1 Day

35.27%

decreased by 1.32%

1 Week

35.47%

decreased by 1.12%

1 Month

35.86%

decreased by 0.73%

Analysis last updated: Friday, October 30, 2026 at 12:32 AM UTC

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Date Range:

from

10/28/2024

to

10/28/2026

6M ·

1Y ·

2Y ·

5Y ·

10Y ·

All

graph of FDM Group (Holdings) plc GJR-GARCH

News Impact Curve

How returns affect tomorrow's volatility

Volatility Forecast

How volatility evolves over time

Parameter Estimates

Jun 19, 2014 to Oct 23, 2026

Model Insight

Volatility shocks decay with a half-life of 5 trading days, meaning a shock loses half its impact after approximately 5 days.

σ

GJR-GARCH Model

Tap to view equation

Shock decay: Shocks decay with a 5-day half-life
ParamValuet-stat
ωconst0.6232
3.01***
αARCH0.0775
1.86*
βGARCH0.7846
14.47***
γleverage0.0360
0.28

0.880

Persistence

5d

Half-life
σ

GJR-GARCH Model

Tap to view equation

ParameterValuet-statistic
ω

const

Unconditional variance weight

0.6232
3.01***
α

ARCH

Response to squared shocks

0.0775
1.86*
β

GARCH

Volatility persistence

0.7846
14.47***
γ

leverage

Additional response to negative shocks

0.0360
0.28

Persistence:

0.880

Half-life:

5 days