FDM Group (Holdings) plc GJR-GARCH Volatility Analysis
Volatility prediction for Thursday, October 29th, 2026
1 Day
35.27%
decreased by 1.32%
1 Week
35.47%
decreased by 1.12%
1 Month
35.86%
decreased by 0.73%
Analysis last updated: Friday, October 30, 2026 at 12:32 AM UTC
Press Delete or Backspace to remove this series.
News Impact Curve
How returns affect tomorrow's volatilityVolatility Forecast
How volatility evolves over timeParameter Estimates
Jun 19, 2014 to Oct 23, 2026Model Insight
Volatility shocks decay with a half-life of 5 trading days, meaning a shock loses half its impact after approximately 5 days.
σ
GJR-GARCH Model
Tap to view equation
Shock decay: Shocks decay with a 5-day half-life
| Param | Value | t-stat |
|---|---|---|
| ωconst | 0.6232 | 3.01*** |
| αARCH | 0.0775 | 1.86* |
| βGARCH | 0.7846 | 14.47*** |
| γleverage | 0.0360 | 0.28 |
0.880
Persistence5d
Half-lifeσ
GJR-GARCH Model
Tap to view equation
| Parameter | Value | t-statistic |
|---|---|---|
ω const Unconditional variance weight | 0.6232 | 3.01*** |
α ARCH Response to squared shocks | 0.0775 | 1.86* |
β GARCH Volatility persistence | 0.7846 | 14.47*** |
γ leverage Additional response to negative shocks | 0.0360 | 0.28 |
Persistence:
0.880
Half-life:
5 days
Other FDM Group (Holdings) plc Analyses
Other GJR-GARCH Analyses on International Equities