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V-Lab

Airan Limited GJR-GARCH Volatility Analysis

Volatility prediction for Thursday, October 29th, 2026

1 Day

43.85%

increased by 2.48%

1 Week

47.94%

increased by 6.57%

1 Month

50.26%

increased by 8.89%

Analysis last updated: Thursday, October 29, 2026 at 10:18 PM UTC

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Date Range:

from

10/28/2024

to

10/28/2026

6M ·

1Y ·

2Y ·

5Y ·

All

graph of Airan Limited GJR-GARCH

News Impact Curve

How returns affect tomorrow's volatility

Volatility Forecast

How volatility evolves over time

Parameter Estimates

Apr 16, 2018 to Oct 23, 2026

Model Insight

Volatility shocks decay with a half-life of 1 trading day, meaning a shock loses half its impact after approximately 1 day.

σ

GJR-GARCH Model

Tap to view equation

Shock decay: Shocks decay with a 1-day half-life
ParamValuet-stat
ωconst4.2800
3.30***
αARCH0.2677
2.22**
βGARCH0.3501
3.55***
γleverage-0.0640
-0.25

0.586

Persistence

1d

Half-life
σ

GJR-GARCH Model

Tap to view equation

ParameterValuet-statistic
ω

const

Unconditional variance weight

4.2800
3.30***
α

ARCH

Response to squared shocks

0.2677
2.22**
β

GARCH

Volatility persistence

0.3501
3.55***
γ

leverage

Additional response to negative shocks

-0.0640
-0.25

Persistence:

0.586

Half-life:

1 days