Skip to main content
V-Lab

Airan Limited Zero Slope Spline-GARCH Volatility Analysis

Volatility prediction for Wednesday, August 5th, 2026

1 Day

31.65%

decreased by 0.33%

1 Week

36.45%

increased by 4.47%

1 Month

39.21%

increased by 7.23%

Analysis last updated: Wednesday, August 5, 2026 at 07:04 PM UTC

Date Range:

from

to

6M ·

1Y ·

2Y ·

5Y ·

All

graph of Airan Limited S0GARCH

News Impact Curve

How returns affect tomorrow's volatility

Volatility Forecast

How volatility evolves over time

Parameter Estimates

Apr 16, 2018 to Jul 31, 2026

Model Insight

This model fits a time-varying baseline (a spline), so volatility mean-reverts toward a slowly-shifting long-run level rather than a constant. Short-run deviations decay with a half-life of 1 trading day.

τ

Zero Slope Spline-GARCH Model

Tap to view equation

ParameterValuet-statistic
ω

const

Unconditional variance weight

1.1439
2.18**
α

ARCH

Response to squared shocks

0.2500
4.76***
β

GARCH

Volatility persistence

0.3517
3.62***
γi Spline Coefficients
K=6
γ1-0.4688
-1.28
γ20.9099
1.83*
γ3-0.9490
-2.29**
γ41.1189
3.04***
γ5-1.0826
-2.82***
γ60.6483
2.14**

Persistence:

0.602

Half-life:

1 days