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V-Lab

Guangdong Tianyu Semiconductor Co Ltd Zero Slope Spline-GARCH Volatility Analysis

Volatility prediction for Wednesday, October 7th, 2026

1 Day

101.31%

unchanged at 0.00%

1 Week

101.31%

unchanged at 0.00%

1 Month

101.31%

unchanged at 0.00%

Analysis last updated: Wednesday, October 7, 2026 at 06:49 PM UTC

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Date Range:

from

10/06/2024

to

10/06/2026

6M ·

All

graph of Guangdong Tianyu Semiconductor Co Ltd S0GARCH

News Impact Curve

How returns affect tomorrow's volatility

Volatility Forecast

How volatility evolves over time

Parameter Estimates

Dec 5, 2025 to Oct 2, 2026

Model Insight

This model fits a time-varying baseline (a spline), so volatility mean-reverts toward a slowly-shifting long-run level rather than a constant.

τ

Zero Slope Spline-GARCH Model

Tap to view equation

Time-varying baseline: volatility reverts to a slowly-shifting spline trend
ParamValuet-stat
ωconst1.3629
2.39**
αARCH0.0000
0.00
βGARCH0.0000
0.00
∑γi Spline Coefficients
K=6
γ170.3197
0.80
γ2-131.2692
-1.06
γ3203.8135
2.63***
γ4-341.2004
-4.63***
γ5348.7363
5.00***
γ6-194.7916
-3.92***

0.000

Persistence

-

Half-life
τ

Zero Slope Spline-GARCH Model

Tap to view equation

ParameterValuet-statistic
ω

const

Unconditional variance weight

1.3629
2.39**
α

ARCH

Response to squared shocks

0.0000
0.00
β

GARCH

Volatility persistence

0.0000
0.00
∑γi Spline Coefficients
K=6
γ170.3197
0.80
γ2-131.2692
-1.06
γ3203.8135
2.63***
γ4-341.2004
-4.63***
γ5348.7363
5.00***
γ6-194.7916
-3.92***

Persistence:

0.000

Half-life:

-