Guangdong Tianyu Semiconductor Co Ltd Zero Slope Spline-GARCH Volatility Analysis
Volatility prediction for Thursday, October 29th, 2026
1 Day
32.01%
unchanged at 0.00%
1 Week
32.01%
unchanged at 0.00%
1 Month
32.01%
unchanged at 0.00%
Analysis last updated: Thursday, October 29, 2026 at 10:02 PM UTC
News Impact Curve
How returns affect tomorrow's volatilityVolatility Forecast
How volatility evolves over timeParameter Estimates
Dec 5, 2025 to Oct 23, 2026Model Insight
This model fits a time-varying baseline (a spline), so volatility mean-reverts toward a slowly-shifting long-run level rather than a constant.
τ
Zero Slope Spline-GARCH Model
Tap to view equation
Time-varying baseline: volatility reverts to a slowly-shifting spline trend
| Param | Value | t-stat |
|---|---|---|
| ωconst | 1.5077 | 2.54** |
| αARCH | 0.0000 | 0.00 |
| βGARCH | 0.0000 | 0.00 |
Spline Coefficients
K=7
| γ1 | 133.7268 | 1.23 |
| γ2 | -245.3798 | -1.58 |
| γ3 | 288.4819 | 2.76*** |
| γ4 | -329.2818 | -3.16*** |
| γ5 | 153.8425 | 1.76* |
| γ6 | 107.6702 | 1.79* |
| γ7 | -161.2915 | -4.51*** |
0.000
Persistence-
Half-lifeτ
Zero Slope Spline-GARCH Model
Tap to view equation
| Parameter | Value | t-statistic |
|---|---|---|
ω const Unconditional variance weight | 1.5077 | 2.54** |
α ARCH Response to squared shocks | 0.0000 | 0.00 |
β GARCH Volatility persistence | 0.0000 | 0.00 |
Spline Coefficients
K=7
| γ1 | 133.7268 | 1.23 |
| γ2 | -245.3798 | -1.58 |
| γ3 | 288.4819 | 2.76*** |
| γ4 | -329.2818 | -3.16*** |
| γ5 | 153.8425 | 1.76* |
| γ6 | 107.6702 | 1.79* |
| γ7 | -161.2915 | -4.51*** |
Persistence:
0.000
Half-life:
-
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