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Guangdong Tianyu Semiconductor Co Ltd Zero Slope Spline-GARCH Volatility Analysis

Volatility prediction for Thursday, October 29th, 2026

1 Day

32.01%

unchanged at 0.00%

1 Week

32.01%

unchanged at 0.00%

1 Month

32.01%

unchanged at 0.00%

Analysis last updated: Thursday, October 29, 2026 at 10:02 PM UTC

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Date Range:

from

10/28/2024

to

10/28/2026

6M ·

All

graph of Guangdong Tianyu Semiconductor Co Ltd S0GARCH

News Impact Curve

How returns affect tomorrow's volatility

Volatility Forecast

How volatility evolves over time

Parameter Estimates

Dec 5, 2025 to Oct 23, 2026

Model Insight

This model fits a time-varying baseline (a spline), so volatility mean-reverts toward a slowly-shifting long-run level rather than a constant.

τ

Zero Slope Spline-GARCH Model

Tap to view equation

Time-varying baseline: volatility reverts to a slowly-shifting spline trend
ParamValuet-stat
ωconst1.5077
2.54**
αARCH0.0000
0.00
βGARCH0.0000
0.00
∑γi Spline Coefficients
K=7
γ1133.7268
1.23
γ2-245.3798
-1.58
γ3288.4819
2.76***
γ4-329.2818
-3.16***
γ5153.8425
1.76*
γ6107.6702
1.79*
γ7-161.2915
-4.51***

0.000

Persistence

-

Half-life
τ

Zero Slope Spline-GARCH Model

Tap to view equation

ParameterValuet-statistic
ω

const

Unconditional variance weight

1.5077
2.54**
α

ARCH

Response to squared shocks

0.0000
0.00
β

GARCH

Volatility persistence

0.0000
0.00
∑γi Spline Coefficients
K=7
γ1133.7268
1.23
γ2-245.3798
-1.58
γ3288.4819
2.76***
γ4-329.2818
-3.16***
γ5153.8425
1.76*
γ6107.6702
1.79*
γ7-161.2915
-4.51***

Persistence:

0.000

Half-life:

-