V-Lab
Guangdong Tianyu Semiconductor Co Ltd GJR-GARCH Volatility Analysis
Volatility prediction for Wednesday, August 5th, 2026
1 Day
56.08%
increased by 0.97%
1 Week
59.00%
increased by 3.89%
1 Month
62.58%
increased by 7.47%
Analysis last updated: Wednesday, August 5, 2026 at 06:50 PM UTC
News Impact Curve
How returns affect tomorrow's volatilityVolatility Forecast
How volatility evolves over timeParameter Estimates
Dec 5, 2025 to Jul 31, 2026Model Insight
This asset shows a rare inverse leverage effect: volatility responds almost entirely to positive returns, rising far more after gains than after losses. This is the reverse of the usual leverage effect, rare among risky assets.
σ
GJR-GARCH Model
Tap to view equation
| Parameter | Value | t-statistic |
|---|---|---|
ω const Unconditional variance weight | 3.4001 | 8.48*** |
α ARCH Response to squared shocks | 0.1538 | 3.06*** |
β GARCH Volatility persistence | 0.7164 | 28.43*** |
γ leverage Additional response to negative shocks | -0.1538 | -3.94*** |
Persistence:
0.793
Half-life:
3 days
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