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V-Lab

Guangdong Tianyu Semiconductor Co Ltd GJR-GARCH Volatility Analysis

Volatility prediction for Tuesday, August 25th, 2026

1 Day

46.92%

increased by 2.30%

1 Week

49.69%

increased by 5.07%

1 Month

55.03%

increased by 10.41%

Analysis last updated: Tuesday, August 25, 2026 at 06:45 PM UTC

Date Range:

from

to

6M ·

All

graph of Guangdong Tianyu Semiconductor Co Ltd GJR-GARCH

News Impact Curve

How returns affect tomorrow's volatility

Volatility Forecast

How volatility evolves over time

Parameter Estimates

Dec 5, 2025 to Aug 21, 2026

Model Insight

This asset shows a rare inverse leverage effect: volatility responds almost entirely to positive returns, rising far more after gains than after losses. This is the reverse of the usual leverage effect, rare among risky assets.

σ

GJR-GARCH Model

Tap to view equation

ParameterValuet-statistic
ω

const

Unconditional variance weight

1.5313
6.32***
α

ARCH

Response to squared shocks

0.2202
4.57***
β

GARCH

Volatility persistence

0.7822
37.34***
γ

leverage

Additional response to negative shocks

-0.2202
-5.99***

Persistence:

0.892

Half-life:

6 days