Guangdong Tianyu Semiconductor Co Ltd GJR-GARCH Volatility Analysis
Volatility prediction for Tuesday, July 14th, 2026
1 Day
63.73%
decreased by 1.61%
1 Week
65.06%
decreased by 0.28%
1 Month
66.55%
increased by 1.21%
Analysis last updated: Tuesday, July 14, 2026 at 06:45 PM UTC
News Impact Curve
How returns affect tomorrow's volatilityVolatility Forecast
How volatility evolves over timeParameter Estimates
Dec 5, 2025 to Jul 10, 2026Model Insight
This asset shows a rare inverse leverage effect: volatility responds almost entirely to positive returns, rising far more after gains than after losses. This is the reverse of the usual leverage effect, rare among risky assets.
σ
GJR-GARCH Model
Tap to view equation
| Parameter | Value | t-statistic |
|---|---|---|
ω const Unconditional variance weight | 4.2678 | 8.08*** |
α ARCH Response to squared shocks | 0.1257 | 2.64*** |
β GARCH Volatility persistence | 0.6992 | 26.62*** |
γ leverage Additional response to negative shocks | -0.1257 | -3.04*** |
Persistence:
0.762
Half-life:
3 days
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