V-Lab
Guangdong Tianyu Semiconductor Co Ltd GJR-GARCH Volatility Analysis
Volatility prediction for Tuesday, August 25th, 2026
1 Day
46.92%
increased by 2.30%
1 Week
49.69%
increased by 5.07%
1 Month
55.03%
increased by 10.41%
Analysis last updated: Tuesday, August 25, 2026 at 06:45 PM UTC
News Impact Curve
How returns affect tomorrow's volatilityVolatility Forecast
How volatility evolves over timeParameter Estimates
Dec 5, 2025 to Aug 21, 2026Model Insight
This asset shows a rare inverse leverage effect: volatility responds almost entirely to positive returns, rising far more after gains than after losses. This is the reverse of the usual leverage effect, rare among risky assets.
σ
GJR-GARCH Model
Tap to view equation
| Parameter | Value | t-statistic |
|---|---|---|
ω const Unconditional variance weight | 1.5313 | 6.32*** |
α ARCH Response to squared shocks | 0.2202 | 4.57*** |
β GARCH Volatility persistence | 0.7822 | 37.34*** |
γ leverage Additional response to negative shocks | -0.2202 | -5.99*** |
Persistence:
0.892
Half-life:
6 days
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