Skip to main content
V-Lab

Guangdong Tianyu Semiconductor Co Ltd GJR-GARCH Volatility Analysis

Volatility prediction for Tuesday, July 14th, 2026

1 Day

63.73%

decreased by 1.61%

1 Week

65.06%

decreased by 0.28%

1 Month

66.55%

increased by 1.21%

Analysis last updated: Tuesday, July 14, 2026 at 06:45 PM UTC

Date Range:

from

to

6M ·

All

graph of Guangdong Tianyu Semiconductor Co Ltd GJR-GARCH

News Impact Curve

How returns affect tomorrow's volatility

Volatility Forecast

How volatility evolves over time

Parameter Estimates

Dec 5, 2025 to Jul 10, 2026

Model Insight

This asset shows a rare inverse leverage effect: volatility responds almost entirely to positive returns, rising far more after gains than after losses. This is the reverse of the usual leverage effect, rare among risky assets.

σ

GJR-GARCH Model

Tap to view equation

ParameterValuet-statistic
ω

const

Unconditional variance weight

4.2678
8.08***
α

ARCH

Response to squared shocks

0.1257
2.64***
β

GARCH

Volatility persistence

0.6992
26.62***
γ

leverage

Additional response to negative shocks

-0.1257
-3.04***

Persistence:

0.762

Half-life:

3 days