V-Lab
Victory Electric Vehicles International Ltd GJR-GARCH Volatility Analysis
Volatility prediction for Wednesday, August 5th, 2026
1 Day
59.04%
increased by 5.01%
1 Week
59.72%
increased by 5.69%
1 Month
60.23%
increased by 6.20%
Analysis last updated: Wednesday, August 5, 2026 at 07:12 PM UTC
News Impact Curve
How returns affect tomorrow's volatilityVolatility Forecast
How volatility evolves over timeParameter Estimates
Jan 15, 2026 to Jul 31, 2026Model Insight
Volatility shocks decay with a half-life of 2 trading days, meaning a shock loses half its impact after approximately 2 days.
σ
GJR-GARCH Model
Tap to view equation
| Parameter | Value | t-statistic |
|---|---|---|
ω const Unconditional variance weight | 5.0000 | 4.03*** |
α ARCH Response to squared shocks | 0.2300 | 1.81* |
β GARCH Volatility persistence | 0.5062 | 5.33*** |
γ leverage Additional response to negative shocks | -0.1627 | -1.13 |
Persistence:
0.655
Half-life:
2 days
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