V-Lab
Victory Electric Vehicles International Ltd GJR-GARCH Volatility Analysis
Volatility prediction for Friday, September 11th, 2026
1 Day
49.70%
decreased by 0.41%
1 Week
54.05%
increased by 3.94%
1 Month
56.82%
increased by 6.71%
Analysis last updated: Friday, September 11, 2026 at 07:41 PM UTC
News Impact Curve
How returns affect tomorrow's volatilityVolatility Forecast
How volatility evolves over timeParameter Estimates
Jan 15, 2026 to Sep 4, 2026Model Insight
Volatility shocks decay with a half-life of 1 trading day, meaning a shock loses half its impact after approximately 1 day.
σ
GJR-GARCH Model
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Shock decay: Shocks decay with a 1-day half-life
| Param | Value | t-stat |
|---|---|---|
| ωconst | 5.0000 | 1.30 |
| αARCH | 0.2580 | 0.51 |
| βGARCH | 0.4455 | 1.33 |
| γleverage | -0.1621 | -0.28 |
0.623
Persistence1d
Half-lifeσ
GJR-GARCH Model
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| Parameter | Value | t-statistic |
|---|---|---|
ω const Unconditional variance weight | 5.0000 | 1.30 |
α ARCH Response to squared shocks | 0.2580 | 0.51 |
β GARCH Volatility persistence | 0.4455 | 1.33 |
γ leverage Additional response to negative shocks | -0.1621 | -0.28 |
Persistence:
0.623
Half-life:
1 days
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