Victory Electric Vehicles International Ltd GJR-GARCH Volatility Analysis
Volatility prediction for Thursday, October 29th, 2026
1 Day
56.50%
decreased by 9.82%
1 Week
56.64%
decreased by 9.68%
1 Month
56.74%
decreased by 9.58%
Analysis last updated: Thursday, October 29, 2026 at 10:41 PM UTC
News Impact Curve
How returns affect tomorrow's volatilityVolatility Forecast
How volatility evolves over timeParameter Estimates
Jan 15, 2026 to Oct 23, 2026Model Insight
Volatility shocks decay with a half-life of 1 trading day, meaning a shock loses half its impact after approximately 1 day.
σ
GJR-GARCH Model
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Shock decay: Shocks decay with a 1-day half-life
| Param | Value | t-stat |
|---|---|---|
| ωconst | 5.0000 | 1.35 |
| αARCH | 0.2493 | 0.50 |
| βGARCH | 0.4386 | 1.30 |
| γleverage | -0.1577 | -0.27 |
0.609
Persistence1d
Half-lifeσ
GJR-GARCH Model
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| Parameter | Value | t-statistic |
|---|---|---|
ω const Unconditional variance weight | 5.0000 | 1.35 |
α ARCH Response to squared shocks | 0.2493 | 0.50 |
β GARCH Volatility persistence | 0.4386 | 1.30 |
γ leverage Additional response to negative shocks | -0.1577 | -0.27 |
Persistence:
0.609
Half-life:
1 days
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