V-Lab
Victory Electric Vehicles International Ltd AGARCH Volatility Analysis
Volatility prediction for Tuesday, August 11th, 2026
1 Day
52.69%
increased by 0.07%
1 Week
58.70%
increased by 6.08%
1 Month
60.24%
increased by 7.62%
Analysis last updated: Tuesday, August 11, 2026 at 07:26 PM UTC
News Impact Curve
How returns affect tomorrow's volatilityVolatility Forecast
How volatility evolves over timeParameter Estimates
Jan 15, 2026 to Aug 7, 2026Model Insight
The news-impact curve is shifted (γ = -1.08) so that positive returns raise next-day volatility more than negative returns of the same size. Volatility rises more after gains than after losses, the reverse of the usual leverage effect and rare among risky assets.
σ
AGARCH Model
Tap to view equation
| Parameter | Value | t-statistic |
|---|---|---|
ω const Unconditional variance weight | 10.7981 | 16.28*** |
α ARCH Response to squared shocks | 0.2274 | 3.84*** |
β GARCH Volatility persistence | 0.0163 | 1.82* |
γ leverage Additional response to negative shocks | -1.0801 | -4.65*** |
Persistence:
0.244
Half-life:
0 days
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