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V-Lab

Hongxing Coldchain Hunan Co Ltd AGARCH Volatility Analysis

Volatility prediction for Tuesday, July 14th, 2026

1 Day

39.07%

increased by 1.07%

1 Week

49.62%

increased by 11.62%

1 Month

59.05%

increased by 21.05%

Analysis last updated: Tuesday, July 14, 2026 at 06:35 PM UTC

Date Range:

from

to

6M ·

All

graph of Hongxing Coldchain Hunan Co Ltd AGARCH

News Impact Curve

How returns affect tomorrow's volatility

Volatility Forecast

How volatility evolves over time

Parameter Estimates

Jan 13, 2026 to Jul 10, 2026

Model Insight

Volatility shocks decay with a half-life of 2 trading days, meaning a shock loses half its impact after approximately 2 days.

σ

AGARCH Model

Tap to view equation

ParameterValuet-statistic
ω

const

Unconditional variance weight

3.8547
15.02***
α

ARCH

Response to squared shocks

0.6436
11.68***
β

GARCH

Volatility persistence

0.1101
10.64***
γ

leverage

Additional response to negative shocks

0.1300
1.00

Persistence:

0.754

Half-life:

2 days