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V-Lab

Hongxing Coldchain Hunan Co Ltd MF2-GARCH Volatility Analysis

Volatility prediction for Monday, August 24th, 2026

1 Day

7.33%

decreased by 0.85%

1 Week

54.82%

increased by 46.64%

1 Month

591,906.41%

increased by 591,898.23%

Analysis last updated: Saturday, August 22, 2026 at 08:55 PM UTC

Date Range:

from

to

6M ·

All

graph of Hongxing Coldchain Hunan Co Ltd MF2-GARCH

News Impact Curve

How returns affect tomorrow's volatility

Volatility Forecast

How volatility evolves over time

Parameter Estimates

Jan 13, 2026 to Aug 21, 2026
Boundary Parameters

Model Insight

This asset exhibits a strong leverage effect: volatility responds almost entirely to negative shocks. The ARCH response to positive shocks is negligible.

σ

MF2-GARCH Model

Tap to view equation

ParameterValuet-statistic
m

window

Rolling window length

21
α

ARCH

Response to squared shocks

0.0000
0.16
β

GARCH

Volatility persistence

0.0000
0.02
γ

leverage

Additional response to negative shocks

0.5000
20.91***
λ₁

tau intercept

Baseline long-term coefficient

0.0000
0.00
λ₂

forecast adj.

Forecast performance sensitivity

0.2268
31.56***
λ₃

tau persistence

Long-term factor persistence

0.2015
16.16***

Persistence:

0.250

Half-life:

1 days