V-Lab
Hongxing Coldchain Hunan Co Ltd MF2-GARCH Volatility Analysis
Volatility prediction for Tuesday, September 8th, 2026
1 Day
16.34%
decreased by 0.36%
1 Week
16.53%
decreased by 0.17%
1 Month
16.72%
increased by 0.02%
Analysis last updated: Tuesday, September 8, 2026 at 08:15 PM UTC
News Impact Curve
How returns affect tomorrow's volatilityVolatility Forecast
How volatility evolves over timeParameter Estimates
Jan 13, 2026 to Sep 4, 2026σ
MF2-GARCH Model
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| Param | Value | t-stat |
|---|---|---|
| mwindow | 26 | |
| αARCH | 0.0010 | |
| βGARCH | 0.0844 | |
| γleverage | 0.0632 | |
| λ₁tau intercept | 0.1478 | |
| λ₂forecast adj. | 0.0125 | |
| λ₃tau persistence | 0.8243 |
0.117
Persistence0d
Half-lifeσ
MF2-GARCH Model
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| Parameter | Value | t-statistic |
|---|---|---|
m window Rolling window length | 26 | |
α ARCH Response to squared shocks | 0.0010 | |
β GARCH Volatility persistence | 0.0844 | |
γ leverage Additional response to negative shocks | 0.0632 | |
λ₁ tau intercept Baseline long-term coefficient | 0.1478 | |
λ₂ forecast adj. Forecast performance sensitivity | 0.0125 | |
λ₃ tau persistence Long-term factor persistence | 0.8243 |
Persistence:
0.117
Half-life:
0 days
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