Hongxing Coldchain Hunan Co Ltd GARCH Volatility Analysis
Volatility prediction for Tuesday, July 14th, 2026
1 Day
51.57%
increased by 16.08%
1 Week
55.01%
increased by 19.52%
1 Month
59.52%
increased by 24.03%
Analysis last updated: Tuesday, July 14, 2026 at 06:35 PM UTC
News Impact Curve
How returns affect tomorrow's volatilityVolatility Forecast
How volatility evolves over timeParameter Estimates
Jan 13, 2026 to Jul 10, 2026Model Insight
Volatility shocks decay with a half-life of 3 trading days, meaning a shock loses half its impact after approximately 3 days.
σ
GARCH Model
Tap to view equation
| Parameter | Value | t-statistic |
|---|---|---|
ω const Unconditional variance weight | 2.8551 | 10.13*** |
α ARCH Response to squared shocks | 0.5381 | 10.59*** |
β GARCH Volatility persistence | 0.2745 | 9.47*** |
Persistence:
0.813
Half-life:
3 days
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