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V-Lab

Hongxing Coldchain Hunan Co Ltd GARCH Volatility Analysis

Volatility prediction for Thursday, September 3rd, 2026

1 Day

53.24%

decreased by 23.05%

1 Week

54.83%

decreased by 21.46%

1 Month

57.69%

decreased by 18.60%

Analysis last updated: Thursday, September 3, 2026 at 06:41 PM UTC

Date Range:

from

to

6M ·

All

graph of Hongxing Coldchain Hunan Co Ltd GARCH

News Impact Curve

How returns affect tomorrow's volatility

Volatility Forecast

How volatility evolves over time

Parameter Estimates

Jan 13, 2026 to Aug 21, 2026

Model Insight

Volatility shocks decay with a half-life of 5 trading days, meaning a shock loses half its impact after approximately 5 days.

σ

GARCH Model

Tap to view equation

ParameterValuet-statistic
ω

const

Unconditional variance weight

1.8300
10.26***
α

ARCH

Response to squared shocks

0.5232
11.99***
β

GARCH

Volatility persistence

0.3485
12.96***

Persistence:

0.872

Half-life:

5 days