V-Lab
Kcl Infra Project Ltd GARCH Volatility Analysis
High-persistence model: shocks decay very slowly, so the theoretical long-run value may not be practically meaningful
Volatility prediction for Monday, August 10th, 2026
1 Day
32.36%
decreased by 2.23%
1 Week
33.11%
decreased by 1.48%
1 Month
35.94%
increased by 1.35%
Analysis last updated: Saturday, August 8, 2026 at 09:26 PM UTC
News Impact Curve
How returns affect tomorrow's volatilityVolatility Forecast
How volatility evolves over timeParameter Estimates
Sep 14, 2009 to Aug 7, 2026Illiquid Asset
Model Insight
Estimated persistence of 1.000 is at or above 1 (non-stationary): volatility shocks do not decay and the long-run variance is undefined, so long-horizon forecasts should be treated with caution.
σ
GARCH Model
Tap to view equation
| Parameter | Value | t-statistic |
|---|---|---|
ω const Unconditional variance weight | 0.0972 | 12.90*** |
α ARCH Response to squared shocks | 0.1452 | 40.50*** |
β GARCH Volatility persistence | 0.8548 | 238.84*** |
Persistence:
1.000
Half-life:
-
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