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V-Lab

Kcl Infra Project Ltd Zero Slope Spline-GARCH Volatility Analysis

Volatility prediction for Tuesday, August 25th, 2026

1 Day

65.35%

decreased by 7.79%

1 Week

63.86%

decreased by 9.28%

1 Month

59.85%

decreased by 13.29%

Analysis last updated: Tuesday, August 25, 2026 at 06:49 PM UTC

Date Range:

from

to

6M ·

1Y ·

2Y ·

5Y ·

10Y ·

All

graph of Kcl Infra Project Ltd S0GARCH

News Impact Curve

How returns affect tomorrow's volatility

Volatility Forecast

How volatility evolves over time

Parameter Estimates

Sep 14, 2009 to Aug 21, 2026

Model Insight

This model fits a time-varying baseline (a spline), so volatility mean-reverts toward a slowly-shifting long-run level rather than a constant. Short-run deviations decay with a half-life of 9 trading days.

τ

Zero Slope Spline-GARCH Model

Tap to view equation

ParameterValuet-statistic
ω

const

Unconditional variance weight

1.2112
5.47***
α

ARCH

Response to squared shocks

0.1746
7.66***
β

GARCH

Volatility persistence

0.7545
18.90***
γi Spline Coefficients
K=8
γ1-0.1649
-1.33
γ20.3931
2.02**
γ3-0.3061
-1.82*
γ4-0.3572
-1.89*
γ51.2177
6.10***
γ6-1.2658
-5.73***
γ70.6092
2.85***
γ8-0.1526
-1.06

Persistence:

0.929

Half-life:

9 days