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V-Lab

Kcl Infra Project Ltd Zero Slope Spline-GARCH Volatility Analysis

Volatility prediction for Wednesday, August 5th, 2026

1 Day

40.69%

increased by 1.07%

1 Week

41.87%

increased by 2.25%

1 Month

44.72%

increased by 5.10%

Analysis last updated: Wednesday, August 5, 2026 at 06:55 PM UTC

Date Range:

from

to

6M ·

1Y ·

2Y ·

5Y ·

10Y ·

All

graph of Kcl Infra Project Ltd S0GARCH

News Impact Curve

How returns affect tomorrow's volatility

Volatility Forecast

How volatility evolves over time

Parameter Estimates

Sep 14, 2009 to Jul 31, 2026

Model Insight

This model fits a time-varying baseline (a spline), so volatility mean-reverts toward a slowly-shifting long-run level rather than a constant. Short-run deviations decay with a half-life of 9 trading days.

τ

Zero Slope Spline-GARCH Model

Tap to view equation

ParameterValuet-statistic
ω

const

Unconditional variance weight

1.2107
5.50***
α

ARCH

Response to squared shocks

0.1746
7.57***
β

GARCH

Volatility persistence

0.7533
18.55***
γi Spline Coefficients
K=8
γ1-0.1657
-1.33
γ20.3907
2.02**
γ3-0.2920
-1.77*
γ4-0.3828
-2.08**
γ51.2311
6.21***
γ6-1.2348
-5.39***
γ70.5346
2.43**
γ8-0.0838
-0.58

Persistence:

0.928

Half-life:

9 days