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V-Lab

Kcl Infra Project Ltd GJR-GARCH Volatility Analysis

High-persistence model: shocks decay very slowly, so the theoretical long-run value may not be practically meaningful

Volatility prediction for Wednesday, August 5th, 2026

1 Day

39.05%

increased by 1.01%

1 Week

39.67%

increased by 1.63%

1 Month

42.07%

increased by 4.03%

Analysis last updated: Wednesday, August 5, 2026 at 06:55 PM UTC

Date Range:

from

to

6M ·

1Y ·

2Y ·

5Y ·

10Y ·

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graph of Kcl Infra Project Ltd GJR-GARCH

News Impact Curve

How returns affect tomorrow's volatility

Volatility Forecast

How volatility evolves over time

Parameter Estimates

Sep 14, 2009 to Jul 31, 2026

Model Insight

With persistence 1.000, volatility shocks have a half-life of 693147 trading days (~2750.6 years), close to a unit root, so long-run forecasts are highly sensitive to this estimate.

σ

GJR-GARCH Model

Tap to view equation

ParameterValuet-statistic
ω

const

Unconditional variance weight

0.0973
12.97***
α

ARCH

Response to squared shocks

0.1521
18.50***
β

GARCH

Volatility persistence

0.8551
238.84***
γ

leverage

Additional response to negative shocks

-0.0143
-1.11

Persistence:

1.000

Half-life:

693147 days