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V-Lab

Kcl Infra Project Ltd GJR-GARCH Volatility Analysis

High-persistence model: shocks decay very slowly, so the theoretical long-run value may not be practically meaningful

Volatility prediction for Tuesday, July 14th, 2026

1 Day

44.73%

decreased by 3.35%

1 Week

45.28%

decreased by 2.80%

1 Month

47.40%

decreased by 0.68%

Analysis last updated: Tuesday, July 14, 2026 at 06:52 PM UTC

Date Range:

from

to

6M ·

1Y ·

2Y ·

5Y ·

10Y ·

All

graph of Kcl Infra Project Ltd GJR-GARCH

News Impact Curve

How returns affect tomorrow's volatility

Volatility Forecast

How volatility evolves over time

Parameter Estimates

Sep 14, 2009 to Jul 10, 2026

Model Insight

Estimated persistence of 1.000 is at or above 1 (non-stationary): volatility shocks do not decay and the long-run variance is undefined, so long-horizon forecasts should be treated with caution.

σ

GJR-GARCH Model

Tap to view equation

ParameterValuet-statistic
ω

const

Unconditional variance weight

0.0976
12.99***
α

ARCH

Response to squared shocks

0.1523
18.48***
β

GARCH

Volatility persistence

0.8548
238.31***
γ

leverage

Additional response to negative shocks

-0.0143
-1.11

Persistence:

1.000

Half-life:

-